Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Gasogi United
39.6% | Draw
32.3% | Bugesera
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bugesera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Gasogi United - Bugesera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.6) |
2.8 ↓
(2.84) |
3.21 ↑
(2.68) |
10.8%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 0.
- Gasogi United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bugesera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gasogi United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gasogi United won against Bugesera?
Gasogi United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Gasogi United?
Bugesera has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gasogi United - Bugesera were as follows:
18.10.2025
Bugesera
-
Gasogi United
0:0
15.02.2025
Gasogi United
-
Bugesera
2:2
11.02.2024
Gasogi United
-
Bugesera
2:3
30.09.2023
Bugesera
-
Gasogi United
3:0
23.04.2023
Bugesera
-
Gasogi United
1:1
Latest results of Gasogi United
Latest results of Bugesera
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | APR | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 36:19 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Marines | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Musanze | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 26 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 14:32 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
