Result
1:1
26/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Chances of winning
Gasogi United
31.3% | Draw
34.9% | Kigali
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gasogi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gasogi United's form might have worsened.Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gasogi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Gasogi United - Kigali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.37) |
2.59 ↓
(2.75) |
2.67 ↓
(3.09) |
10.7%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gasogi United - Kigali?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kigali (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Kigali (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Kigali (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kigali (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 1.
- Gasogi United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kigali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gasogi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gasogi United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gasogi United won against Kigali?
Gasogi United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Gasogi United?
Kigali has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gasogi United - Kigali were as follows:
28.03.2025
Kigali
-
Gasogi United
0:0
04.01.2025
Gasogi United
-
Kigali
1:2
27.01.2024
Gasogi United
-
Kigali
0:1
02.09.2023
Kigali
-
Gasogi United
1:2
06.05.2023
Kigali
-
Gasogi United
2:1
Latest results of Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
