Result
2:2
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Marines 37% | Draw 31.1% | Gasogi United 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marines's form might have worsened.Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gasogi United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marines than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gasogi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marines - Gasogi United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↑ (2.05) |
2.91 ↑ (2.87) |
2.82 ↓ (3.68) |
10.8% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 2.
- Marines has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gasogi United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marines will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marines won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marines won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Marines won against Gasogi United?
Marines has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gasogi United won against Marines?
Gasogi United has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marines - Gasogi United were as follows:
06.12.2025
Gasogi United
-
Marines
0:2
09.02.2025
Marines
-
Gasogi United
3:0
23.08.2024
Gasogi United
-
Marines
1:0
03.03.2024
Gasogi United
-
Marines
2:0
21.10.2023
Marines
-
Gasogi United
0:1
Latest results of Marines
Latest results of Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation