Marines vs Gasogi United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Marines
37%
Draw
31.1%
Gasogi United
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 31.4% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 28.6% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marines's form might have worsened.
  • Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gasogi United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marines than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gasogi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marines - Gasogi United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.05)
    2.91
    (2.87)
    2.82
    (3.68)
    10.8%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 2.
    • Marines has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gasogi United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marines will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marines won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marines won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marines - Gasogi United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Gasogi United - Marines 0:2
    09.02.2025 Marines - Gasogi United 3:0
    23.08.2024 Gasogi United - Marines 1:0
    03.03.2024 Gasogi United - Marines 2:0
    21.10.2023 Marines - Gasogi United 0:1
    Latest results of Marines
    25.04.2026 Police - Marines 2:0
    17.04.2026 Marines - Kigali 0:1
    15.03.2026 Gorilla - Marines 1:1
    Latest results of Gasogi United
    24.04.2026 Kigali - Gasogi United 0:0
    17.04.2026 Gasogi United - Gorilla 2:1
    14.03.2026 Gasogi United - Bugesera 0:1
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman28204463:204364
    2APR291511341:221956
    3Al-Merreikh281510334:151955
    4Rayon Sport291212534:26848
    5Police291112627:18945
    6Kiyovu291111730:191144
    7Mukura Victory Sports291181030:32-241
    8Bugesera291171129:29040
    9Marines291081136:35138
    10Musanze291071233:32137
    11Gorilla29891224:33-933
    12Gicumbi29881331:44-1332
    13Gasogi United297101221:35-1431
    14AS Kigali296111220:31-1129
    15Amagaju29771516:34-1828
    16Etincelles294151020:31-1127
    17Rutsiro295101427:39-1225
    18Muhanga29661719:40-2124

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