Gateshead vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
610
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Chapman H. , Hurst K. ,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Embleton E. ,
  • 41', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 60', Jones J. , Armstrong L. ,
  • 66', Newton T. , Flint W. ,
  • 66', Edwards C. , Nouble F. ,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Linney R. ,
  • 75', Embleton E. , Whelan C. ,
  • 89', 0 - 3, Armstrong L. ,

Chances of winning


Gateshead
16.2%
Draw
20.1%
Carlisle United
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 22.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 20.7% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gateshead - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.73
    (4.89)
    4.57
    (4.16)
    1.45
    (1.58)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Gateshead - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Gateshead is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carlisle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Gateshead has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Carlisle is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gateshead - Carlisle United were as follows:
    30.07.2024 Gateshead - Carlisle United 2:0
    Latest results of Gateshead
    21.12.2025 Gateshead - Eastleigh 1:3
    13.12.2025 Gateshead - Morecambe 0:3
    07.12.2025 Gateshead - Walsall 0:2
    29.11.2025 Sutton United - Gateshead 4:2
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City35258292:326083
    2Rochdale34264465:234282
    3Carlisle35225864:422271
    4Boreham Wood34197865:422364
    5Forest Green361711860:421862
    6Scunthorpe341710760:491161
    7FC Halifax361581355:53253
    8Southend31157952:292352
    9Hartlepool341312942:37551
    10Tamworth341291345:54-945
    11Solihull Moors3411101358:54443
    12Boston Utd3511101446:51-543
    13Aldershot341261660:63-342
    14Altrincham351241941:54-1340
    15Wealdstone321091338:51-1339
    16Eastleigh351091644:60-1639
    17Woking311081341:38338
    18Yeovil331151735:47-1238
    19Sutton348121448:56-836
    20Brackley Town33991528:44-1636
    21Braintree35891827:51-2433
    22Morecambe35692046:75-2927
    23Gateshead33752139:76-3726
    24Truro34662233:61-2824

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation