Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions
Result
75:122
27/09/2025 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Match Stats

Goals
1118
Behinds
914
Kicks
199226
Handballs
120131
Disposals
319357
Frees For
2217
Frees Against
1722
Clearances Completed
3652
Marks
7091
Tackles
5176
Hitouts
4664

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (15 - 12)
  • 03:18, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:16, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 10:23, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 11:45, Wilmot D. (Behind),
  • 14:54, De Koning S. (Behind),
  • 15:28, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 17:23, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 20:47, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 23:04, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 23:48, Mullin O. (G),
  • 25:24, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 28:18, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (21 - 24)
  • 01:54, Bowes J. (G),
  • 03:12, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 05:13, Morris L. (G),
  • 06:57, Cameron C. (G),
  • 11:30, Dempsey O. (Behind),
  • 13:21, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 19:43, Neale S. (G),
  • 21:06, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 23:25, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:17, Close B. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (8 - 27)
  • 02:26, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 03:34, (Behind Rushed),
  • 06:32, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 07:36, Reville B. (Behind),
  • 12:53, Holmes M. (G),
  • 18:17, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 19:03, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 23:20, Cameron C. (G),
  • 27:37, Cameron C. (G),
  • 29:14, Neale L. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (31 - 59)
  • 00:46, Cameron C. (G),
  • 03:55, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 04:45, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 05:32, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 07:19, Rayner C. (G),
  • 09:05, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 11:15, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 13:05, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 14:52, Gallop T. (Behind),
  • 18:55, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 20:15, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 22:40, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 24:01, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 25:56, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 28:43, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 29:59, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 31:19, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 31:53, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 33:43, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 34:50, Mannagh S. (G),

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
62.1%
Brisbane Lions
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 39%

Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.5
(1.5)

2.44
(2.6)
7.9%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 93:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
    • Geelong has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Geelong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1680:1317. (average 84:65.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 960:697. (average 96:69.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    05.09.2025 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 112:74
    20.06.2025 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 51:92
    29.03.2025 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 70:61
    21.09.2024 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 85:95
    20.04.2024 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 37:63
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    19.09.2025 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 115:85
    05.09.2025 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 112:74
    23.08.2025 Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats 64:103
    17.08.2025 Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats 68:111
    08.08.2025 Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers 109:65
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions