Result
 
                    75:122
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        27/09/2025 at  00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  AFL - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | AFL, Fox Footy | 
|  Germany | Sportdigital1+ | 
|  United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Goals | 
|---|
| 11 | 18 | 
| Behinds | 
|---|
| 9 | 14 | 
| Kicks | 
|---|
| 199 | 226 | 
| Handballs | 
|---|
| 120 | 131 | 
| Disposals | 
|---|
| 319 | 357 | 
| Frees For | 
|---|
| 22 | 17 | 
| Frees Against | 
|---|
| 17 | 22 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 36 | 52 | 
| Marks | 
|---|
| 70 | 91 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 51 | 76 | 
| Hitouts | 
|---|
| 46 | 64 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Quarter (15 - 12)
- 03:18,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 07:16, Bailey Z. (Behind), 
- 10:23, Bailey Z. (Behind), 
- 11:45, Wilmot D. (Behind), 
- 14:54, De Koning S. (Behind), 
- 15:28, Dempsey O. (G), 
- 17:23, Ah Chee C. (Behind), 
- 20:47, Lohmann K. (G), 
- 23:04, Bailey Z. (Behind), 
- 23:48, Mullin O. (G), 
- 25:24, Bailey Z. (Behind), 
- 28:18, Stengle T. (Behind), 
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 24)
- 01:54, Bowes J. (G), 
- 03:12, Stengle T. (Behind), 
- 05:13, Morris L. (G), 
- 06:57, Cameron C. (G), 
- 11:30, Dempsey O. (Behind), 
- 13:21, McCluggage H. (G), 
- 19:43, Neale S. (G), 
- 21:06, Ashcroft W. (G), 
- 23:25,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 25:17, Close B. (G), 
- 3rd Quarter (8 - 27)
- 02:26, Cameron J. (Behind), 
- 03:34,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 06:32, Bailey Z. (G), 
- 07:36, Reville B. (Behind), 
- 12:53, Holmes M. (G), 
- 18:17, Lohmann K. (Behind), 
- 19:03, Bailey Z. (Behind), 
- 23:20, Cameron C. (G), 
- 27:37, Cameron C. (G), 
- 29:14, Neale L. (G), 
- 4th Quarter (31 - 59)
- 00:46, Cameron C. (G), 
- 03:55, Bailey Z. (Behind), 
- 04:45, Cameron C. (Behind), 
- 05:32, Blicavs M. (G), 
- 07:19, Rayner C. (G), 
- 09:05, Ashcroft W. (G), 
- 11:15, McCluggage H. (G), 
- 13:05, Morris L. (Behind), 
- 14:52, Gallop T. (Behind), 
- 18:55, Bailey Z. (G), 
- 20:15, Lohmann K. (G), 
- 22:40, Cameron J. (Behind), 
- 24:01, Bailey Z. (G), 
- 25:56, McCluggage H. (G), 
- 28:43, Dempsey O. (G), 
- 29:59, McCluggage H. (G), 
- 31:19, Ah Chee C. (Behind), 
- 31:53, Dempsey O. (G), 
- 33:43, Dempsey O. (G), 
- 34:50, Mannagh S. (G), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Geelong Cats 62.1%
 | Brisbane Lions 37.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.5 (1.5)
 | 
 | 2.44 ↓ (2.6)
 | 7.9% (5.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 93:80.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
- Geelong has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Geelong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1680:1317. (average 84:65.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 960:697. (average 96:69.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Brisbane Lions?
                    
                    
                        
                            Geelong Cats has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Geelong Cats?
                    
                    
                        
                             Brisbane Lions has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.09.2025 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Brisbane Lions 
                                112:74
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.06.2025 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Brisbane Lions 
                                51:92
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                Brisbane Lions 
                                - 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                70:61
                            
        
                                                        
                                21.09.2024 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Brisbane Lions 
                                85:95
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.04.2024 
                                Brisbane Lions 
                                - 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                37:63
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Geelong Cats                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Brisbane Lions