Result
75:122
27/09/2025 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 199 | 226 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 120 | 131 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 319 | 357 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 36 | 52 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 70 | 91 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 51 | 76 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 46 | 64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (15 - 12)
- 03:18, (Behind Rushed),
- 07:16, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 10:23, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 11:45, Wilmot D. (Behind),
- 14:54, De Koning S. (Behind),
- 15:28, Dempsey O. (G),
- 17:23, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 20:47, Lohmann K. (G),
- 23:04, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 23:48, Mullin O. (G),
- 25:24, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 28:18, Stengle T. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 24)
- 01:54, Bowes J. (G),
- 03:12, Stengle T. (Behind),
- 05:13, Morris L. (G),
- 06:57, Cameron C. (G),
- 11:30, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 13:21, McCluggage H. (G),
- 19:43, Neale S. (G),
- 21:06, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 23:25, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:17, Close B. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (8 - 27)
- 02:26, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 03:34, (Behind Rushed),
- 06:32, Bailey Z. (G),
- 07:36, Reville B. (Behind),
- 12:53, Holmes M. (G),
- 18:17, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 19:03, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 23:20, Cameron C. (G),
- 27:37, Cameron C. (G),
- 29:14, Neale L. (G),
- 4th Quarter (31 - 59)
- 00:46, Cameron C. (G),
- 03:55, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 04:45, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 05:32, Blicavs M. (G),
- 07:19, Rayner C. (G),
- 09:05, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 11:15, McCluggage H. (G),
- 13:05, Morris L. (Behind),
- 14:52, Gallop T. (Behind),
- 18:55, Bailey Z. (G),
- 20:15, Lohmann K. (G),
- 22:40, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 24:01, Bailey Z. (G),
- 25:56, McCluggage H. (G),
- 28:43, Dempsey O. (G),
- 29:59, McCluggage H. (G),
- 31:19, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 31:53, Dempsey O. (G),
- 33:43, Dempsey O. (G),
- 34:50, Mannagh S. (G),
Chances of winning
Geelong Cats
62.1% | Brisbane Lions
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5
(1.5) |
|
2.44 ↓
(2.6) |
7.9%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 93:80.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
- Geelong has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Geelong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1680:1317. (average 84:65.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 960:697. (average 96:69.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Brisbane Lions?
Geelong Cats has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Geelong Cats?
Brisbane Lions has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
05.09.2025
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
112:74
20.06.2025
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
51:92
29.03.2025
Brisbane Lions
-
Geelong Cats
70:61
21.09.2024
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
85:95
20.04.2024
Brisbane Lions
-
Geelong Cats
37:63
Latest results of Geelong Cats
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Gold Coast Suns | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 384:201 | 191.04 | 12 |
| 2 | Western Bulldogs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 339:247 | 137.25 | 12 |
| 3 | Sydney Swans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 318:228 | 139.47 | 8 |
| 4 | Hawthorn Hawks | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 339:287 | 118.12 | 8 |
| 5 | Fremantle Dockers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218:180 | 121.11 | 4 |
| 6 | North Melbourne | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 207:178 | 116.29 | 4 |
| 7 | Port Adelaide Power | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200:183 | 109.29 | 4 |
| 8 | Adelaide Crows | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 181:173 | 104.62 | 4 |
| 9 | Collingwood Magpies | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 157:159 | 98.74 | 4 |
| 10 | St Kilda Saints | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 251:272 | 92.28 | 4 |
| 11 | Melbourne Demons | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 190:225 | 84.44 | 4 |
| 12 | West Coast Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 183:225 | 81.33 | 4 |
| 13 | GWS Giants | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 249:307 | 81.11 | 4 |
| 14 | Geelong Cats | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 179:225 | 79.56 | 4 |
| 15 | Carlton Blues | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 144:203 | 70.94 | 4 |
| 16 | Brisbane Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 166:215 | 77.21 | 0 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 131:203 | 64.53 | 0 |
| 18 | Essendon Bombers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 153:278 | 55.04 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
