Result
112:74
05/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 225 | 215 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 111 | 161 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 336 | 376 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 38 | 37 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 100 | 90 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80 | 64 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 40 | 59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (30 - 18)
- 01:38, Cameron C. (G),
- 04:15, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 05:05, Cameron J. (G),
- 06:53, Dempsey O. (G),
- 09:03, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:29, Cameron J. (G),
- 12:40, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 15:23, Fletcher J. (G),
- 18:11, Henry J. (Behind),
- 19:42, Lohmann K. (G),
- 23:25, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:44, Mullin O. (G),
- 26:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (29 - 26)
- 00:44, Lohmann K. (G),
- 02:08, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:24, Close B. (Behind),
- 05:31, (Behind Rushed),
- 07:29, Berry J. (G),
- 08:46, Holmes M. (Behind),
- 09:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:17, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:06, Dunkley J. (Behind),
- 22:16, De Koning S. (G),
- 24:17, Bowes J. (G),
- 25:55, Dempsey O. (G),
- 27:27, Stewart T. (G),
- 29:14, Rayner C. (G),
- 30:15, Rayner C. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (31 - 15)
- 00:52, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:26, Blicavs M. (G),
- 06:22, Rayner C. (G),
- 14:00, Smith B. (G),
- 18:13, Holmes M. (G),
- 19:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:38, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 22:33, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 24:32, Morris L. (G),
- 28:10, Martin J. (G),
- 29:39, Dempsey O. (G),
- 4th Quarter (22 - 15)
- 04:26, Neale S. (G),
- 08:09, Neale S. (Behind),
- 10:27, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 13:46, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 14:16, Bailey Z. (G),
- 17:46, Dunkley J. (G),
- 19:58, Zorko D. (Behind),
- 21:09, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 23:11, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:04, Atkins T. (G),
- 28:52, Close B. (G),
- 30:21, Stengle T. (Behind),
Chances of winning
Geelong Cats
56.4% | Brisbane Lions
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.67) |
|
2.13 ↓
(2.15) |
8.5%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 168.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Geelong Cats will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:81.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 1.
- Geelong is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Brisbane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1711:1324. (average 85.6:66.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 991:704. (average 99.1:70.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Brisbane Lions?
Geelong Cats has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Geelong Cats?
Brisbane Lions has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
20.06.2025
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
51:92
29.03.2025
Brisbane Lions
-
Geelong Cats
70:61
21.09.2024
Geelong Cats
-
Brisbane Lions
85:95
20.04.2024
Brisbane Lions
-
Geelong Cats
37:63
22.07.2023
Brisbane Lions
-
Geelong Cats
64:53
Latest results of Geelong Cats
Latest results of Brisbane Lions
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Collingwood Magpies (4) | 55 : 79 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (6) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 79 : 80 |
| 5 | Geelong Cats (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 112 : 74 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | Bye | |
| 8 | GWS Giants (5) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 88 : 107 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 100 : 47 |
| 3 | Geelong Cats (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 67 : 101 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | |
| 2 | Geelong Cats (2) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 115 : 85 |
Final
