Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions
Result
51:92
20/06/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
614
Behinds
158
Kicks
203232
Handballs
111142
Disposals
314374
Frees For
2120
Frees Against
2021
Clearances Completed
3637
Marks
81106
Tackles
4961
Hitouts
3639

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (9 - 26)
  • 06:27, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 08:17, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 09:58, Hipwood E. (Behind),
  • 11:44, Ashcroft L. (G),
  • 13:59, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 16:14, Wilmot D. (G),
  • 17:30, Rayner C. (G),
  • 20:27, Dempsey O. (Behind),
  • 23:34, Atkins T. (Behind),
  • 26:12, Neale S. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (14 - 20)
  • 01:29, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 04:06, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 08:45, Cameron J. (G),
  • 17:59, Morris L. (G),
  • 23:35, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 28:40, Cameron J. (G),
  • 30:12, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 30:54, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 32:35, O'Connor M. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (17 - 26)
  • 01:13, Rayner C. (G),
  • 03:38, Martin J. (Behind),
  • 07:39, Morris L. (G),
  • 09:25, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 11:04, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 11:59, Morris L. (G),
  • 15:15, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 17:44, Morris L. (G),
  • 20:18, Miers G. (G),
  • 23:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 26:17, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 27:37, Cameron J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (11 - 20)
  • 00:59, Rayner C. (G),
  • 03:44, Morris L. (G),
  • 05:23, Cameron J. (G),
  • 10:25, Miers G. (Behind),
  • 11:30, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 13:00, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 16:09, Martin J. (Behind),
  • 17:41, Smith B. (Behind),
  • 19:21, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 23:14, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 24:31, Lohmann K. (G),

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
68.9%
Brisbane Lions
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geelong Cats's performance.
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong Cats that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.54)

    2.94
    (2.51)
    6.3%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
  • What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:77.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 1.
    • Geelong has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Brisbane's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Geelong is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1753:1300. (average 87.7:65).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 940:612. (average 104.4:68).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 70:61
    21.09.2024 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 85:95
    20.04.2024 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 37:63
    22.07.2023 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 64:53
    02.03.2023 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 91:45
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )