Result
09/05/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Geelong Cats
62.5% | Collingwood Magpies
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong Cats that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collingwood Magpies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.58) |
|
2.45 ↑
(2.4) |
8.4%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1648:1614. (average 82.4:80.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 630:695. (average 78.8:86.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Collingwood Magpies?
Geelong Cats has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Geelong Cats?
Collingwood Magpies has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
03.05.2025
Collingwood Magpies
-
Geelong Cats
87:90
12.07.2024
Collingwood Magpies
-
Geelong Cats
71:91
11.08.2023
Collingwood Magpies
-
Geelong Cats
109:101
17.03.2023
Geelong Cats
-
Collingwood Magpies
103:125
03.09.2022
Geelong Cats
-
Collingwood Magpies
78:72
Latest results of Geelong Cats
Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Sydney Swans | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 945:571 | 165.50 | 28 |
| 2 | Fremantle Dockers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 758:570 | 132.98 | 28 |
| 3 | Hawthorn Hawks | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 829:684 | 121.20 | 26 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 862:684 | 126.02 | 20 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Suns | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 806:695 | 115.97 | 20 |
| 6 | Geelong Cats | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 791:690 | 114.64 | 20 |
| 7 | Melbourne Demons | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 811:809 | 100.25 | 20 |
| 8 | Collingwood Magpies | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 666:613 | 108.65 | 18 |
| 9 | St Kilda Saints | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 765:666 | 114.86 | 16 |
| 10 | North Melbourne | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 764:720 | 106.11 | 16 |
| 11 | Adelaide Crows | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 685:709 | 96.61 | 16 |
| 12 | Western Bulldogs | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 720:787 | 91.49 | 16 |
| 13 | Port Adelaide Power | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 703:634 | 110.88 | 12 |
| 14 | GWS Giants | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 668:757 | 88.24 | 12 |
| 15 | West Coast Eagles | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 557:939 | 59.32 | 8 |
| 16 | Carlton Blues | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 634:812 | 78.08 | 4 |
| 17 | Essendon Bombers | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 649:925 | 70.16 | 4 |
| 18 | Richmond Tigers | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 523:871 | 60.05 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
