Result
 
                    115:85
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        19/09/2025 at  05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  AFL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | Fox Footy | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Goals | 
|---|
| 17 | 13 | 
| Behinds | 
|---|
| 13 | 7 | 
| Kicks | 
|---|
| 211 | 194 | 
| Handballs | 
|---|
| 138 | 139 | 
| Disposals | 
|---|
| 349 | 333 | 
| Frees For | 
|---|
| 19 | 16 | 
| Frees Against | 
|---|
| 16 | 19 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 50 | 33 | 
| Marks | 
|---|
| 67 | 77 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 77 | 78 | 
| Hitouts | 
|---|
| 39 | 52 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Quarter (9 - 22)
- 03:27, Lewis M. (G), 
- 09:09,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 10:19, Lewis M. (Behind), 
- 10:56, Ginnivan J. (G), 
- 14:00,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 17:54, Weddle J. (Behind), 
- 19:52, Nash C. (G), 
- 23:18,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 28:42, Dangerfield P. (G), 
- 30:05, Close B. (Behind), 
- 31:04, Miers G. (Behind), 
- 2nd Quarter (34 - 20)
- 02:00,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 02:37,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 04:17, Neale S. (G), 
- 06:16, Blicavs M. (G), 
- 09:00, Lewis M. (G), 
- 11:54, Lewis M. (G), 
- 14:27, Mannagh S. (G), 
- 18:16, Watson N. (G), 
- 21:04, Cameron J. (G), 
- 23:57, Martin J. (Behind), 
- 26:01, Stengle T. (G), 
- 28:40, Cameron J. (Behind), 
- 30:07, Dempsey O. (Behind), 
- 31:15, Bowes J. (Behind), 
- 3rd Quarter (46 - 19)
- 00:37, Stengle T. (G), 
- 03:33, Dangerfield P. (G), 
- 05:43, Holmes M. (G), 
- 07:13, Smith B. (Behind), 
- 08:39, Cameron J. (G), 
- 12:52, Gunston J. (G), 
- 14:43, Macdonald C. (G), 
- 17:51, Dempsey O. (Behind), 
- 19:31, Impey J. (G), 
- 21:56,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 22:53, Martin J. (G), 
- 30:08, Cameron J. (G), 
- 31:44, Mannagh S. (G), 
- 33:56, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 35:02, Close B. (Behind), 
- 4th Quarter (26 - 24)
- 01:00, Gunston J. (G), 
- 02:46,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 04:50, Dangerfield P. (G), 
- 07:14, Miers G. (G), 
- 12:34, Moore D. (G), 
- 14:14, Gunston J. (G), 
- 16:10, Cameron J. (Behind), 
- 18:13, Chol M. (G), 
- 20:01, Stengle T. (G), 
- 25:58, Smith B. (G), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Geelong Cats 61.9%
 | Hawthorn Hawks 38.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.5 ↓ (1.65)
 | 
 | 2.45 ↑ (2.25)
 | 7.7% (5.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            2 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 50%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:77.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 4.
- Geelong has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hawthorn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1768:1568. (average 88.4:78.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1052:872. (average 95.6:79.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
                            Geelong Cats has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Geelong Cats?
                    
                    
                        
                             Hawthorn Hawks has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
                                                        
                                21.04.2025 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                86:79
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.07.2024 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                110:59
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.04.2024 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                70:106
                            
        
                                                        
                                10.04.2023 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                127:45
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Geelong Cats                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks