Result
115:85
19/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox Footy |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 211 | 194 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 138 | 139 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 349 | 333 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 50 | 33 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 67 | 77 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77 | 78 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 39 | 52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (9 - 22)
- 03:27, Lewis M. (G),
- 09:09, (Behind Rushed),
- 10:19, Lewis M. (Behind),
- 10:56, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 14:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:54, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 19:52, Nash C. (G),
- 23:18, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:42, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 30:05, Close B. (Behind),
- 31:04, Miers G. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (34 - 20)
- 02:00, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:37, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:17, Neale S. (G),
- 06:16, Blicavs M. (G),
- 09:00, Lewis M. (G),
- 11:54, Lewis M. (G),
- 14:27, Mannagh S. (G),
- 18:16, Watson N. (G),
- 21:04, Cameron J. (G),
- 23:57, Martin J. (Behind),
- 26:01, Stengle T. (G),
- 28:40, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 30:07, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 31:15, Bowes J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (46 - 19)
- 00:37, Stengle T. (G),
- 03:33, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 05:43, Holmes M. (G),
- 07:13, Smith B. (Behind),
- 08:39, Cameron J. (G),
- 12:52, Gunston J. (G),
- 14:43, Macdonald C. (G),
- 17:51, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 19:31, Impey J. (G),
- 21:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:53, Martin J. (G),
- 30:08, Cameron J. (G),
- 31:44, Mannagh S. (G),
- 33:56, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 35:02, Close B. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (26 - 24)
- 01:00, Gunston J. (G),
- 02:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:50, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 07:14, Miers G. (G),
- 12:34, Moore D. (G),
- 14:14, Gunston J. (G),
- 16:10, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 18:13, Chol M. (G),
- 20:01, Stengle T. (G),
- 25:58, Smith B. (G),
Chances of winning
Geelong Cats
61.9% | Hawthorn Hawks
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong Cats that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.65) |
|
2.45 ↑
(2.25) |
7.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:77.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 4.
- Geelong has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hawthorn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1768:1568. (average 88.4:78.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1052:872. (average 95.6:79.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Geelong Cats has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Geelong Cats?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
21.04.2025
Geelong Cats
-
Hawthorn Hawks
86:79
06.07.2024
Geelong Cats
-
Hawthorn Hawks
110:59
01.04.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Geelong Cats
70:106
10.04.2023
Geelong Cats
-
Hawthorn Hawks
127:45
Latest results of Geelong Cats
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Gold Coast Suns | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 384:201 | 191.04 | 12 |
| 2 | Western Bulldogs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 339:247 | 137.25 | 12 |
| 3 | Sydney Swans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 318:228 | 139.47 | 8 |
| 4 | Hawthorn Hawks | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 339:287 | 118.12 | 8 |
| 5 | Fremantle Dockers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218:180 | 121.11 | 4 |
| 6 | North Melbourne | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 207:178 | 116.29 | 4 |
| 7 | Port Adelaide Power | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200:183 | 109.29 | 4 |
| 8 | Adelaide Crows | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 181:173 | 104.62 | 4 |
| 9 | Collingwood Magpies | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 157:159 | 98.74 | 4 |
| 10 | St Kilda Saints | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 251:272 | 92.28 | 4 |
| 11 | Melbourne Demons | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 190:225 | 84.44 | 4 |
| 12 | West Coast Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 183:225 | 81.33 | 4 |
| 13 | GWS Giants | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 249:307 | 81.11 | 4 |
| 14 | Geelong Cats | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 179:225 | 79.56 | 4 |
| 15 | Carlton Blues | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 144:203 | 70.94 | 4 |
| 16 | Brisbane Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 166:215 | 77.21 | 0 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 131:203 | 64.53 | 0 |
| 18 | Essendon Bombers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 153:278 | 55.04 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
