Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 85', 🟥,
- 88', 1 - 0, Tuccio V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gela
38.3% | Draw
28.4% | ACR Messina
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Gela - ACR Messina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.35) |
3.19 ↓
(3.35) |
2.72 ↑
(2.52) |
10.5%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gela won against ACR Messina?
Gela has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Gela?
ACR Messina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gela - ACR Messina were as follows:
Latest results of ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
