Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 85', 🟥,
- 88', 1 - 0, Tuccio V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gela
38.3% | Draw
28.4% | ACR Messina
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Gela - ACR Messina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.35) |
3.19 ↓
(3.35) |
2.72 ↑
(2.52) |
10.5%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gela won against ACR Messina?
Gela has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Gela?
ACR Messina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gela - ACR Messina were as follows:
Latest results of ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
