Result
4:1
07/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Cangemi A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 59', 2 - 0, Cangemi A. ⚽,
- 65', 2 - 1, Polifemo S. ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 1, Aperi S. ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 1, Marino M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gela
46.2% | Draw
27.2% | Castrumfavara
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gela's performance.Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrumfavara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gela that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrumfavara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gela - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.35) |
3.35 ↓
(3.41) |
3.44 ↑
(2.68) |
9.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).
- Recent performances by Gela have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Castrumfavara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gela could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Gela won against Castrumfavara?
Gela has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Gela?
Castrumfavara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gela - Castrumfavara were as follows:
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
