Result
2:1
07/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 12
- Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (148/206) | 88% (468/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (148/206) | 88% (468/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 61% (30/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 81% (148/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Thalisson Kelven ⚽, Dele-Bashiru T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 1, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
- 49', Opoku J. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Niang M. (Pen),
- 58', Da Costa N. ↓, Kaluzinski J. ↑,
- 58', Ozdemir B. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
- 67', Koita S. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
- 68', Crespo M. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
- 68', Sahiner O. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
- 72', Kaluzinski J. 🟨,
- 76', Gurpuz G. ↓, Demir D. ↑,
- 76', Ulgun O. ↓, Mimaroglu M. ↑,
- 77', Sari Y. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
- 84', Onur S. 🟨,
- 86', Pereira P. 🟨,
- 88', Duarte L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Demirel V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tongya F. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
- 90+5', Niang M. ↓, Osmanoglu S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gençlerbirliği
29.4% | Draw
27.7% | İstanbul Başakşehir
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Gençlerbirliği - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(3.51) |
3.44 ↓
(3.55) |
2.21 ↑
(2.04) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
İstanbul Başakşehir will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Başakşehir might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kemaloglu E.
(Knee Injury)
Kyabou M.
(Knee Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
Unal E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Fayzullaev A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Varesanovic D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Gureler H.
(Inactive)
Opoku J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Gençlerbirliği has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Gençlerbirliği?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 62:18 | 44 | 64 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 61:28 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 53:29 | 24 | 60 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:46 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 31 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
