Gençlerbirliği vs İstanbul Başakşehir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 12
  • Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.14
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1519
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
72% (148/206)88% (468/534)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.722.05
Total shots
1519
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
1015
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
820
Passes
72% (148/206)88% (468/534)
Long passes
33% (13/40)61% (30/49)
Passes in final third
58% (25/43)81% (148/182)
Crosses
36% (4/11)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.54
Throw-ins
1215
Fouls
208
Tackles
83% (10/12)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3450
Clearances
4512
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
2.052.72
Goals prevented
1.050.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Thalisson Kelven , Dele-Bashiru T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Shomurodov E. , Crespo M. (A),
  • 49', Opoku J. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Niang M. (Pen),
  • 58', Da Costa N. , Kaluzinski J. ,
  • 58', Ozdemir B. , Harit A. ,
  • 67', Koita S. , Onur S. ,
  • 68', Crespo M. , Selke D. ,
  • 68', Sahiner O. , Kemen O. ,
  • 72', Kaluzinski J. 🟨,
  • 76', Gurpuz G. , Demir D. ,
  • 76', Ulgun O. , Mimaroglu M. ,
  • 77', Sari Y. , Turuc D. ,
  • 84', Onur S. 🟨,
  • 86', Pereira P. 🟨,
  • 88', Duarte L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Demirel V. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Tongya F. , Onyekuru H. ,
  • 90+5', Niang M. , Osmanoglu S. ,

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
29.4%
Draw
27.7%
İstanbul Başakşehir
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 26.7% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 25.9% 47.8%

Gençlerbirliği - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.25
(3.51)
3.44
(3.55)
2.21
(2.04)
5.1%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - İstanbul Başakşehir?
  • Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Başakşehir might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury) Kyabou M. (Knee Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Fayzullaev A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Varesanovic D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Başakşehir: Gureler H. (Inactive) Opoku J. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
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    2025/26
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          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig