Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
22/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 17
  • Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Sports 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.77
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
97
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
72% (189/263)87% (399/457)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.77
xG on target (xGOT)
3.733.34
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
159
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
32
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2922
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
156
Passes
72% (189/263)87% (399/457)
Long passes
42% (23/55)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
63% (43/68)77% (97/126)
Crosses
44% (7/16)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.851.01
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
615
Tackles
83% (10/12)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
1318
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
3.343.73
Goals prevented
0.34-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Goutas D. , Gurpuz G. (A),
  • 7', Mimaroglu M. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Tongya F. , Ulgun O. (A),
  • 40', Savic S. , Saatci S. ,
  • 45', Sikan D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Felipe Augusto , Pina W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Felipe Augusto , Muci E. (A),
  • 52', 3 - 2, Ulgun O. , Mimaroglu M. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 2, Koita S. , Gurpuz G. (A),
  • 65', Bosluk A. , Canak C. ,
  • 65', Sikan D. , Olaigbe K. ,
  • 67', 4 - 3, Muci E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Pina W. 🟨,
  • 84', Gurpuz G. , Dursun A. ,
  • 90+1', Mimaroglu M. , Onur S. ,
  • 90+4', Koita S. , Demir D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
29.6%
Draw
27.9%
Trabzonspor
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 25.9% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.1% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trabzonspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (3.68)
    3.37
    (3.64)
    2.21
    (1.95)
    6.3%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Trabzonspor (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (51 of 59 users predict this - 86.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.7%95.18%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trabzonspor will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Trabzonspor (votes: 31 - 91.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, Trabzonspor has had a series of home games.
    • Trabzonspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G. (Injury) Durmaz E. (Suspended) Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury) Kyabou M. (Knee Injury) Niang M. (Yellow Cards) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R. (Shin Injury) Baskan B. (Suspended) Inao Oulai C. (International duty) Malkocoglu S. (Suspended) Nwakaeme A. (Muscle Injury) Onuachu P. (International duty) Visca E. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor were as follows:
    08.02.2024 Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor 1:2
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of Trabzonspor
    17.12.2025 Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor 0:1
    14.12.2025 Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş 3:3
    07.12.2025 Göztepe - Trabzonspor 1:2
    03.12.2025 Trabzonspor - Vanspor 2:0
    29.11.2025 Trabzonspor - Konyaspor 3:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig