Ciudad de Bolívar vs General San Martín de Formosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa
Result
4:1
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
140
Corner Kicks
120
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Total shots
172
Shots on target
140
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', Bobadilla M. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Caraballo K. (Pen),
  • 13', Tapia R. 🟨,
  • 14', Brienzo N. 🟨,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Duarte B. ,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Tapia R. ,
  • 27', Leiva D. 🟨,
  • 32', Vicedo M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', (Pen),
  • 57', Schonfeld G. 🟨,
  • 76', Diaz A. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Maciel J. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Diaz A. ,

Chances of winning


Ciudad de Bolívar
73.8%
Draw
18.4%
General San Martín de Formosa
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 22.7% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 21.9% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.
  • General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General San Martín de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Bolívar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.41)
    5.37
    (4)
    12.65
    (7)
    1.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Ciudad de Bolívar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Martín Formosa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Ciudad de Bolívar is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Ciudad de Bolívar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa were as follows:
    21.09.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    59 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    6Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    7Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    8Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    10Argentino MM (2)Bye
    11Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    12Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 1
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)2 : 0
    39 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)2 : 1
    4Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0
    5Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)2 : 0
    6Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)0 : 0
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 1