General San Martín de Formosa vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
127
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Chiquichano O. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Aquino A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Bobadilla M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Peralta B. ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


General San Martín de Formosa
51.9%
Draw
29%
Independiente Chivilcoy
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 27.2% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.93)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    4.81
    (3.64)
    8.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Martín Formosa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín Formosa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ind Chivilcoy (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Martín Formosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Martín Formosa is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

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