Result
4:3
04/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Tejeda A. ⚽,
- 37', Flores A. ↓, Palomo A. ↑,
- 40', 2 - 1, Cardozo Coitinho S. ⚽,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Cabrera M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nunez Ramirez H. J. ↓, Moncada W. ↑,
- 46', Polidoro A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez M. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 60', Melendez L. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- 60', Licona M. ↓, Turcios-Castillo J. ↑,
- 67', Palomo A. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 73', Riascos J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 76', Macias J. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 78', 3 - 2, Moncada W. ⚽,
- 79', Castellanos H. 🟨,
- 81', Turcios-Castillo J. 🟨,
- 84', Garcia J. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 87', Miranda J. 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 2, John Kleber ⚽,
- 90+1', Sacaza G. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 3, Miranda J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Motagua
63.1% | Draw
21.7% | Génesis PN
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motagua's performance.Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Motagua - Génesis PN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.62) |
4.18 ↑
(3.52) |
5.96 ↑
(5.07) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 3.
- In recent matches, Motagua has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Génesis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Motagua is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Génesis PN?
Motagua has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Motagua?
Génesis PN has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Génesis PN were as follows:
26.07.2025
Génesis PN
-
Motagua
2:1
10.05.2025
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
5:1
07.05.2025
Génesis PN
-
Motagua
1:4
02.04.2025
Motagua
-
Génesis PN
4:1
02.02.2025
Génesis PN
-
Motagua
1:1
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Génesis PN
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Platense | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
