Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 25
- Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (561/638) | 76% (236/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (561/638) | 76% (236/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (128/164) | 63% (44/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Sattlberger N. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Sarfo E. ⚽, Adedeji-Sternberg N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mouchamps D. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
- 46', Shkurti K. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 51', Sarfo E. 🟨,
- 62', Ruiz Atil K. 🟨,
- 69', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Gedikli E. ↑,
- 69', Bruggeman B. ↓, Lucker L. ↑,
- 89', Pierre K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk U23
33.8% | Draw
27.1% | RFC Liège
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genk U23's performance.RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RFC Liège might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk U23 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RFC Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genk U23 - RFC Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(3.21) |
3.44 ↓
(3.66) |
2.35 ↑
(1.97) |
8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Genk U23 - RFC Liège?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
RFC Liège will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
- Genk U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RFC Liège is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- RFC Liège may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- RFC Liège could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.4:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk U23 won against RFC Liège?
Genk U23 has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Genk U23?
RFC Liège has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk U23 - RFC Liège were as follows:
05.10.2025
RFC Liège
-
Genk U23
5:0
13.04.2025
RFC Liège
-
Genk U23
3:1
25.08.2024
Genk U23
-
RFC Liège
4:1
19.04.2024
RFC Liège
-
Genk U23
5:0
03.11.2023
Genk U23
-
RFC Liège
2:3
Latest results of Genk U23
Latest results of RFC Liège
