Result
3:1
13/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 29
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.02 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (296/367) | 85% (438/514) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.02 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 18 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (296/367) | 85% (438/514) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (61/94) | 70% (111/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.65 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Arslan A. ⚽, Cascio A. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Atteri Z. ⚽, Merlen R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Toure S. ↓, Lazar S. E. ↑,
- 46', Yasuda K. ↓, Lukanic L. ↑,
- 58', Cascio A. ↓, Cavelier M. ↑,
- 64', Pierre K. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Atteri Z. ⚽, Arslan A. (A),
- 73', Claes T. (Pen),
- 73', 3 - 1, Yokoyama A. ⚽,
- 77', Bustin J. 🟨,
- 79', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 79', Claes T. ↓, Decresson L. ↑,
- 87', Arslan A. ↓, Pierrot T. ↑,
- 87', Lambot B. ↓, Reynaerts S. ↑,
- 87', Lejoly A. ↓, Debaty K. ↑,
- 90+1', Bruggeman B. ↓, Baiocchi J. ↑,
- 90+5', Atteri Z. (Pen),
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
59.3% | Draw
21.2% | Genk U23
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RFC Liège that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
RFC Liège - Genk U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.61) |
4.33 ↓
(4.35) |
4.69 ↑
(4.56) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches RFC Liège is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Genk U23 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Genk U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match RFC Liège is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches RFC Liège won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams RFC Liège won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Genk U23?
RFC Liège has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk U23 won against RFC Liège?
Genk U23 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Genk U23 were as follows:
25.08.2024
Genk U23
-
RFC Liège
4:1
19.04.2024
RFC Liège
-
Genk U23
5:0
03.11.2023
Genk U23
-
RFC Liège
2:3
Latest results of RFC Liège
Latest results of Genk U23
