Result
1:2
27/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Relegation - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Smet W. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (515/591) | 69% (205/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (515/591) | 69% (205/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 32% (20/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (134/174) | 56% (53/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (12/53) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vancsa Z. ⚽, De Grand S. (A),
- 18', 0 - 2, Vancsa Z. ⚽, Seuntjens R. (A),
- 25', Bustin J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 2, Hazard K. ⚽, Bruggeman B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Lopez L. ↓, van Duiven R. ↑,
- 71', Lefebvre A. 🟨,
- 72', Seuntjens R. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
- 78', Schoofs L. 🟨,
- 79', Vancsa Z. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
- 79', D'Ostilio J. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 87', Lefebvre A. ↓, Pirotte L. ↑,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
34.3% | Draw
25.3% | Lommel
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
RFC Liège - Lommel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(2.97) |
3.73 ↑
(3.56) |
2.3 ↑
(2.14) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Lommel?
Users Predictions:
Lommel will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Lommel has had a series of home games.
- Lommel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Lommel?
RFC Liège has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against RFC Liège?
Lommel has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Lommel were as follows:
23.04.2026
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
3:0
27.01.2026
RFC Liège
-
Lommel
1:0
28.09.2025
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
0:1
26.01.2025
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
0:2
04.10.2024
RFC Liège
-
Lommel
1:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 46 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 36 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 28 |
| 5 | Gent | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
