Result
1:2
01/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 23
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (367/454) | 81% (383/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (367/454) | 81% (383/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 30% (16/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (116/164) | 70% (100/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Heymans D. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
- 8', 0 - 2, Heymans D. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sambu M. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
- 46', Toshevski D. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 47', Nsimba B. 🟨,
- 48', Cools K. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Nsimba B. ⚽,
- 65', Ito J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 65', Karetsas K. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
- 71', Viltard M. ↓, Dion M. S. ↑,
- 77', Sor Y. ↓, Kongolo J. ↑,
- 81', Marijnissen L. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 82', Heymans D. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
- 83', Bibout A. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
- 88', Kvet R. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 90+2', Rodes N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🟨,
- 90+6', Gallon G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
23.7% | Draw
27.8% | Genk
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Dender EH - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.65) |
3.41 ↓
(3.65) |
1.96 ↑
(1.95) |
5.3%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Genk?
Users Predictions:
Genk will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Genk will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Dender EH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Genk is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Genk?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Dender EH?
Genk has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Genk were as follows:
05.10.2025
Genk
-
Dender EH
2:1
08.03.2025
Dender EH
-
Genk
0:1
22.09.2024
Genk
-
Dender EH
4:0
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
