Result
0:1
23/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 15
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (533/620) | 71% (236/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (533/620) | 71% (236/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (181/240) | 63% (55/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 2.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Konate M. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Marsa J. ⚽, Raman B. (A),
- 37', Hammar F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Miras N. 🟨,
- 65', Raman B. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
- 72', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 72', Kongolo J. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
- 72', Medina Y. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
- 79', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
- 81', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
- 81', Sor Y. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 89', Lauberbach L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Diouf G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk
63.7% | Draw
20.7% | KV Mechelen
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Genk - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.88) |
4.63 ↑
(3.65) |
6.08 ↑
(3.9) |
4.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Genk - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Mechelen will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.
- Genk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mechelen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Genk is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Genk: El Ouahdi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ito J.
(Knock)
Lawal T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Kiki
(Surgery)
Konate M.
(Broken cheekbone)
Mrabti K.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
- There are questionable in Genk: Nkuba K.
(Heel Injury)
- We predict that Genk will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:7. (average 2.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against KV Mechelen?
Genk has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Genk?
KV Mechelen has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - KV Mechelen were as follows:
18.01.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Genk
1:2
28.09.2024
Genk
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
11.02.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Genk
1:1
22.10.2023
Genk
-
KV Mechelen
4:0
17.02.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Genk
2:2
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 36:12 | 24 | 42 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 39 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25:22 | 3 | 31 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Antwerp | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | Gent | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 28:29 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 | Genk | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Westerlo | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Waregem | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Leuven | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Dender | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
