Result
2:3
13/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 25
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (291/362) | 83% (407/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 3.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (291/362) | 83% (407/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (72/100) | 65% (89/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.50 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Hammar F. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, van Brederode M. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Bibout A. ⚽,
- 31', Ito J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 1, Mrabti K. ⚽, van Brederode M. (A),
- 61', 2 - 2, Heynen B. ⚽,
- 62', Medina Y. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 62', Ito J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 67', Vanrafelghem K. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 71', Heymans D. 🟨,
- 74', Halhal R. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 3, Heymans D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 80', Servais M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 81', Mirisola R. 🟨,
- 84', van Brederode M. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
- 86', Vanderbiest F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
29.8% | Draw
27.7% | Genk
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KV Mechelen - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(3.4) |
3.4 ↓
(3.5) |
2.23 ↑
(1.94) |
5.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Genk?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Genk will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Mechelen (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Mechelen (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Genk (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 40%). Genk (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
- Recent performances by Mechelen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Genk is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Genk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Lenaerts M.
(Inactive)
Salifou D.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:39. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Genk?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against KV Mechelen?
Genk has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Genk were as follows:
23.11.2025
Genk
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
18.01.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Genk
1:2
28.09.2024
Genk
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
11.02.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Genk
1:1
22.10.2023
Genk
-
KV Mechelen
4:0
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
