Result
3:2
30/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 23
- Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Haiti | Tele Haiti |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Iraq | Al Rabiaa Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (456/525) | 87% (358/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (456/525) | 87% (358/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 49% (19/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (125/159) | 65% (35/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 0, Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', 2 - 0, Taylor K. ⚽, Isaksen G. (A),
- 64', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Malinovskyi R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', Provedel I. 🟨,
- 68', Martin A. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
- 72', Ostigard L. 🟨,
- 73', Maldini D. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
- 73', Pedro ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
- 74', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 2, Vitinha ⚽,
- 80', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
- 81', Vitinha ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
- 81', Taylor K. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
- 82', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
- 87', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
- 87', Isaksen G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 90+3', Norton-Cuffy B. 🟨,
- 90+10', 3 - 2, Cataldi D. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Lazio 42.1% | Draw 32.5% | Genoa 25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+14.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lazio - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (1.86) |
2.95 ↓ (3.41) |
3.76 ↓ (4.52) |
4.6% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lazio - Genoa?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 26 - 51%). Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 15.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 37.3% – 64.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Tie (votes: 13 - 54.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
- DC - Lazio (1.27) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- AH -0.25 - Lazio (1.89) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Genoa (3.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25, 2nd Half - Lazio (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25, 1st Half - Lazio (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Genoa (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lazio (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Genoa (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 42 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 23 - 54.8%). Genoa (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 13 - 31%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 5.
- In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Genoa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lazio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S.
(Ankle Injury)
Patric
(Calf Injury)
Romagnoli A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Genoa: Baldanzi T.
(Injury)
Gronbaek A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lazio: Rovella N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Genoa: Siegrist B.
(Finger Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:25. (average 2.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Genoa?
Lazio has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Lazio?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Genoa were as follows:
29.09.2025
Genoa
-
Lazio
0:3
23.04.2025
Genoa
-
Lazio
0:2
27.10.2024
Lazio
-
Genoa
3:0
19.04.2024
Genoa
-
Lazio
0:1
05.12.2023
Lazio
-
Genoa
1:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 62:21 | 41 | 64 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41:20 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Napoli | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 34:16 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Juventus | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 45 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Lazio | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Udinese | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | Parma | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 32 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Genoa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:37 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 | Torino | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20:43 | -23 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19:46 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B