Genoa vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 35
  • Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Optus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.09
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
81% (273/337)88% (465/530)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.95
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1928
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
81% (273/337)88% (465/530)
Long passes
50% (15/30)65% (32/49)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)80% (64/80)
Crosses
29% (6/21)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.36
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1412
Tackles
50% (12/24)100% (5/5)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
1622
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.950.84
Goals prevented
0.95-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
  • 27', Thorsby M. 🟨,
  • 28', Fofana Y. , Leao R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Sabelli S. , Zanoli A. ,
  • 60', Junior Messias , Vitinha ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Vitinha , Martin A. (A),
  • 69', Loftus-Cheek R. 🟨,
  • 70', Jimenez A. , Joao Felix ,
  • 70', Jovic L. , Gimenez S. ,
  • 72', Thorsby M. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Leao R. , Gimenez S. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 2, Frendrup M. (Own goal),
  • 79', Tomori F. , Walker K. ,
  • 79', Pulisic C. , Musah Y. ,
  • 82', Leao R. 🟨,
  • 84', Gabbia M. 🟨,
  • 86', Norton-Cuffy B. , Ekhator J. ,
  • 90+2', Joao Felix 🟨,

Chances of winning


Genoa
20.3%
Draw
25.1%
Milan
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 27% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2% 26.8% 50%

Genoa - Milan Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.66
(4.12)
3.8
(3.56)
1.75
(1.93)
4.8%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genoa - Milan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Milan (1.46) (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (78 of 91 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.52%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
    • Genoa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Milan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Milan is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Balotelli M. (Coach's decision) Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury) Ekuban C. (Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury) Miretti F. (Shoulder Injury) Onana J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Matturro A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Emerson Royal (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Milan were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Milan - Genoa 0:0
    05.05.2024 Milan - Genoa 3:3
    07.10.2023 Genoa - Milan 0:1
    Latest results of Genoa
    27.04.2025 Como - Genoa 1:0
    23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2
    13.04.2025 Verona - Genoa 0:0
    04.04.2025 Genoa - Udinese 1:0
    29.03.2025 Juventus - Genoa 1:0
    Latest results of Milan
    27.04.2025 Venezia - Milan 0:2
    23.04.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:3
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma1290315:6927
    2AC Milan1274118:9925
    3Napoli1281319:11825
    4Inter1280426:131324
    5Bologna1273221:81324
    6Como1366119:71224
    7Juventus1365217:12523
    8Lazio1253415:9618
    9Udinese1353514:20-618
    10Sassuolo1352616:16017
    11Cremonese1235413:16-314
    12Torino1235411:21-1014
    13Atalanta1227314:14013
    14Cagliari1325613:19-611
    15Genoa1325613:20-711
    16Parma132569:17-811
    17Pisa1217410:16-610
    18Lecce122468:16-810
    19Fiorentina1206610:19-96
    20Verona130678:20-126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B