Milan vs Genoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 19
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.321.32
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
327
Shots on target
82
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
121
Passes
90% (495/552)80% (300/373)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
2.321.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.88
Total shots
327
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
152
Shots inside the box
255
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
5514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
813
Passes
90% (495/552)80% (300/373)
Long passes
61% (20/33)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
84% (199/237)66% (37/56)
Crosses
29% (14/49)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.52
Throw ins
1817
Fouls
138
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
951
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.882.49
Goals prevented
-0.121.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Colombo L. , Malinovskyi R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fofana Y. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 63', Thorsby M. , Masini P. ,
  • 64', Malinovskyi R. , Ellertsson M. E. ,
  • 65', Saelemaekers A. , Fullkrug N. ,
  • 70', Gabbia M. 🟨,
  • 75', Vitinha , Ekhator J. ,
  • 75', Gabbia M. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 80', Leali N. 🟨,
  • 83', Colombo L. , Otoa S. ,
  • 83', Martin A. , Stanciu N. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Leao R. ,
  • 90+7', Maignan M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Stanciu N. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milan
64.7%
Draw
23.3%
Genoa
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 21.3% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 20.6% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Milan - Genoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.43)
    4.09
    (4.45)
    7.82
    (7.74)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Milan - Genoa?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 68 - 89.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 5 - 6.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 82.6%96.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Genoa (1.54) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -1 - Milan (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Milan (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Milan (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Genoa (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
    • Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Genoa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Milan is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Nkunku C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Muscle Injury) Onana J. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Junior Messias (Calf Injury) Otoa S. (Shin Injury) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Genoa were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2
    15.12.2024 Milan - Genoa 0:0
    05.05.2024 Milan - Genoa 3:3
    07.10.2023 Genoa - Milan 0:1
    Latest results of Milan
    02.01.2026 Cagliari - Milan 0:1
    28.12.2025 Milan - Verona 3:0
    18.12.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:0
    14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2
    08.12.2025 Torino - Milan 2:3
    Latest results of Genoa
    03.01.2026 Genoa - Pisa 1:1
    29.12.2025 Roma - Genoa 3:1
    21.12.2025 Genoa - Atalanta 0:1
    14.12.2025 Genoa - Inter Milan 1:2
    08.12.2025 Udinese - Genoa 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma311731142:281454
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa312121723:55-3218

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B