Milan vs Genoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan).

Serie A - Round 19
Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.32	1.32
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
32	7
Shots on target
8	2
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
12	1
Passes
90% (495/552)	80% (300/373)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.32	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.49	0.88
Total shots
32	7
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked shots
15	2
Shots inside the box
25	5
Shots outside the box
7	2
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
12	1
Touches in opposition box
55	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
8	13
Passes
90% (495/552)	80% (300/373)
Long passes
61% (20/33)	42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
84% (199/237)	66% (37/56)
Crosses
29% (14/49)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.99	0.52
Throw ins
18	17
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
60% (9/15)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
50	47
Clearances
9	51
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	7
xGOT faced
0.88	2.49
Goals prevented
-0.12	1.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Colombo L. ⚽, Malinovskyi R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fofana Y. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
63', Thorsby M. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
64', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
65', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
70', Gabbia M. 🟨,
75', Vitinha ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
75', Gabbia M. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
80', Leali N. 🟨,
83', Colombo L. ↓, Otoa S. ↑,
83', Martin A. ↓, Stanciu N. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Leao R. ⚽,
90+7', Maignan M. 🟨,
90+7', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
90+9', Stanciu N. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milan
64.7%

Draw
23.3%

Genoa
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.6%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Milan - Genoa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)	4.09 ↓ (4.45)	7.82 ↑ (7.74)	5.3% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Milan - Genoa?

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 68 - 89.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 5 - 6.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 82.6% – 96.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Genoa (1.54) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1 - Milan (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Milan (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Milan (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Genoa (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Genoa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Milan is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Nkunku C. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Muscle Injury) Onana J. (International duty)
There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Junior Messias (Calf Injury) Otoa S. (Shin Injury) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Genoa?

Milan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Milan?

Genoa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Genoa were as follows:

05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2

15.12.2024 Milan - Genoa 0:0

05.05.2024 Milan - Genoa 3:3

07.10.2023 Genoa - Milan 0:1

Latest results of Milan

02.01.2026 Cagliari - Milan 0:1 ✺

28.12.2025 Milan - Verona 3:0 ✺

18.12.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:0 ✺

14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2 ✺

08.12.2025 Torino - Milan 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Genoa

03.01.2026 Genoa - Pisa 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Roma - Genoa 3:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Genoa - Atalanta 0:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Genoa - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺

08.12.2025 Udinese - Genoa 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	29	22	2	5	65:23	42	68
2	AC Milan	29	17	9	3	44:21	23	60
3	Napoli	29	18	5	6	45:30	15	59
4	Como	29	15	9	5	48:22	26	54
5	Juventus	29	15	8	6	51:28	23	53
6	AS Roma	29	16	3	10	39:23	16	51
7	Atalanta	29	12	11	6	40:27	13	47
8	Bologna	29	12	6	11	38:34	4	42
9	Lazio	29	10	10	9	29:28	1	40
10	Sassuolo	29	11	5	13	35:39	-4	38
11	Udinese	29	10	6	13	33:42	-9	36
12	Parma	29	8	10	11	21:36	-15	34
13	Genoa	29	8	9	12	36:40	-4	33
14	Torino	29	9	6	14	32:50	-18	33
15	Cagliari	29	7	9	13	31:41	-10	30
16	Fiorentina	29	6	10	13	34:43	-9	28
17	Lecce	29	7	6	16	21:39	-18	27
18	Cremonese	29	5	9	15	23:44	-21	24
19	Pisa	29	2	12	15	23:49	-26	18
20	Verona	29	3	9	17	22:51	-29	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B