Result
1:2
05/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 35
- Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Optus Sport |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport 2, Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Maldives | ICE Sports, Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.57 | 1.09 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
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81% (273/337) | 88% (465/530) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.57 | 1.09 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.84 | 1.95 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
81% (273/337) | 88% (465/530) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (15/30) | 65% (32/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (64/99) | 80% (64/80) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.48 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (12/24) | 100% (5/5) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.95 | 0.84 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.95 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
- 27', Thorsby M. 🟨,
- 28', Fofana Y. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Sabelli S. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
- 60', Junior Messias ↓, Vitinha ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Vitinha ⚽, Martin A. (A),
- 69', Loftus-Cheek R. 🟨,
- 70', Jimenez A. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
- 70', Jovic L. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
- 72', Thorsby M. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Leao R. ⚽, Gimenez S. (A),
- 77', 1 - 2, Frendrup M. (Own goal),
- 79', Tomori F. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
- 79', Pulisic C. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
- 82', Leao R. 🟨,
- 84', Gabbia M. 🟨,
- 86', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
- 90+2', Joao Felix 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genoa 20.3% | Draw 25.1% | Milan 54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Genoa - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.66 ↑ (4.12) |
3.8 ↑ (3.56) |
1.75 ↓ (1.93) |
4.8% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genoa - Milan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Milan will win
(78 of 91 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.52% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
- Genoa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Milan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Milan is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Genoa: Balotelli M.
(Coach's decision)
Cuenca Martinez H. F.
(Injury)
Ekuban C.
(Injury)
Malinovsky R.
(Ankle Injury)
Miretti F.
(Shoulder Injury)
Onana J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Genoa: Matturro A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Emerson Royal
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Milan?
Genoa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Genoa?
Milan has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Milan were as follows:
15.12.2024
Milan
-
Genoa
0:0
05.05.2024
Milan
-
Genoa
3:3
07.10.2023
Genoa
-
Milan
0:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B