Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 12
- Referee: Gemelli E. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, RaiPlay, RAI Sport |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/497) | 67% (164/246) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/497) | 67% (164/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 24% (11/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (137/183) | 52% (40/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, van Dooren K. ⚽, Park Soo-Jeong (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Soffia A. 🟨,
- 60', Cinotti N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', 1 - 1, Cinotti N. ⚽,
- 64', Cinotti N. 🟨,
- 66', Kyvag T. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
- 77', Giles H. ↓, Massa A. ↑,
- 77', Georgsdottir B. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
- 79', Sondengaard A. 🟨,
- 81', Koivisto E. 🟨,
- 86', Cinotti N. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
- 88', Arrigoni G. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, van Dooren K. ⚽, Dompig C. (A),
- 90+2', Curraj A. ↓, Giacobbo G. ↑,
- 90+3', Cuschieri R. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
59.3% | Draw
22.8% | Genoa
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Milan - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.38) |
4.02 ↓
(4.91) |
5.14 ↓
(6.66) |
9.1%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11).
- In recent matches, Milan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Genoa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Milan is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Milan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Genoa?
Milan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Milan?
Genoa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Genoa were as follows:
21.12.2025
Genoa
-
Milan
2:3
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter W | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Napoli W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Como W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Ternana W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:32 | -16 | 13 |
| 10 | Sassuolo W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 11 | Parma W | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
