Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 6
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2 |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Football |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 0.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
69% | 31% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (463/553) | 68% (164/242) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 0.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.58 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
84% (463/553) | 68% (164/242) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (26/55) | 27% (14/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (98/144) | 54% (29/54) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (8/21) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.77 | 0.60 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
46% (6/13) | 100% (15/15) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.46 | 1.58 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.54 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Ekhator J. ⚽, Norton-Cuffy B. (A),
- 38', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
- 44', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Marcandalli A. ↓, Otoa S. ↑,
- 50', Olivera M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
- 50', Politano M. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
- 55', David Neres 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Anguissa F. ⚽,
- 61', Ekhator J. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
- 61', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
- 63', Otoa S. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽,
- 76', Sabelli S. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
- 76', Vitinha ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 82', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
- 82', David Neres ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napoli 65.1% | Draw 23.6% | Genoa 11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Napoli - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↑ (1.45) |
4.06 ↓ (4.28) |
8.45 ↑ (7.82) |
4.3% (5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Napoli - Genoa?
Users Predictions:
82 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 70 - 85.4%). Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 77.8% – 93%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Napoli (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.
- Napoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Genoa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Napoli is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A.
(Thigh Injury)
Contini N.
(Hand Injury)
Lukaku R.
(Thigh Injury)
Rrahmani A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M.
(Muscle Injury)
Junior Messias
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Genoa: Onana J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Genoa?
Napoli has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Napoli?
Genoa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Genoa were as follows:
11.05.2025
Napoli
-
Genoa
2:2
21.12.2024
Genoa
-
Napoli
1:2
17.02.2024
Napoli
-
Genoa
1:1
16.09.2023
Genoa
-
Napoli
2:2
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
14 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
20 | Pisa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B