Result
1:1
30/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 23
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/343) | 85% (394/461) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/343) | 85% (394/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (74/124) | 70% (74/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Ito J. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 1, Hong Hyun-Seok ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
- 66', Lutonda T. ↓, Makate Bokoya C. ↑,
- 66', Benavides D. ↓, Gillot N. ↑,
- 71', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 79', Kadri A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Gillot N. ⚽,
- 88', Skoras M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 88', Ito A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
Chances of winning
RAAL La Louvière
38.7% | Draw
28.9% | Gent
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RAAL La Louvière's performance.Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RAAL La Louvière that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
RAAL La Louvière - Gent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.85) |
3.29 ↑
(3.1) |
2.89 ↑
(2.38) |
5.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - Gent?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Gent will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 38.5% – 81.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gent will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- La Louvière is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gent is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- La Louvière might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M.
(Ankle Injury)
Essaouabi H.
(Inactive)
Samoise M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Gent?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against RAAL La Louvière?
Gent has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - Gent were as follows:
02.08.2025
Gent
-
RAAL La Louvière
1:0
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
