Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 16
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (336/431) | 82% (381/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (336/431) | 82% (381/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (30/64) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (61/91) | 76% (140/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Kanga W. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', Taniguchi S. 🟨,
- 59', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Muja A. ⚽, Yamamoto R. (A),
- 63', Volckaert M. 🟨,
- 65', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Goto K. ⚽, Jukleroed S. (A),
- 78', Ito A. ↓, De Vlieger T. ↑,
- 78', Skoras M. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 82', Goto K. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
- 82', Ito R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 84', Araujo T. ↓, Ayinde A. ↑,
- 84', Kadri A. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
- 89', De Vlieger T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Muja A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 90+2', Yamamoto R. ↓, Diriken A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gent
42.4% | Draw
27% | Sint-Truidense
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Gent - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.22) |
3.51 ↑
(3.4) |
3.11 ↑
(3) |
5.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gent - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Gent (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gent will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 3.
- In recent matches, Gent has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sint-Truidense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gent will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gent: Dean M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Gent: Duverne J.
(Knock)
Essaouabi H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Hata T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Sint-Truidense?
Gent has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Gent?
Sint-Truidense has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
27.07.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Gent
3:1
07.12.2024
Gent
-
Sint-Truidense
2:0
06.10.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Gent
1:1
25.05.2024
Gent
-
Sint-Truidense
2:0
23.04.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Gent
0:2
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
