Germinal vs Guillermo Brown – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
16
Total shots
84
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
17
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Mera B. 🟨,
  • 30', Persia M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 61', Chiavetto A. 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 78', Persia M. , Morales E. ,
  • 78', Mera B. , Zubowicz M. ,
  • 78', Galabert E. , Cardoso A. ,
  • 85', Perez I. , Parra J. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Rivero M. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Germinal
39.9%
Draw
30.2%
Guillermo Brown
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 26.8% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 28.4% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Germinal's form might have worsened.
  • Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Germinal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guillermo Brown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Germinal - Guillermo Brown Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (1.86)
    3.07
    (3.35)
    3.1
    (3.6)
    8%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Germinal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guillermo Brown is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Germinal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Guillermo Brown were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Guillermo Brown - Germinal 1:2
    Latest results of Germinal
    Latest results of Guillermo Brown
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0