Germinal vs Villa Mitre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Germinal - Villa Mitre
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
714
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Ponce A. ,
  • 32', Rojas D. 🟨,
  • 39', Tanner F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', (Pen),
  • 65', 1 - 1, Zadel D. ,
  • 66', Gimenez F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germinal
24.3%
Draw
32.2%
Villa Mitre
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 31.4% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 31% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Germinal - Villa Mitre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.6)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    2.09
    (2.1)
    9.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Germinal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Villa Mitre is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Villa Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Villa Mitre were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Villa Mitre - Germinal 2:0
    25.08.2024 Villa Mitre - Germinal 1:0
    02.06.2024 Villa Mitre - Germinal 2:0
    07.04.2024 Germinal - Villa Mitre 1:0
    24.09.2023 Villa Mitre - Germinal 3:0
    Latest results of Germinal
    Latest results of Villa Mitre
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    Winners stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Bolivar ✔ 852111:5617
    2Argentino MM740312:9312
    3Olimpo Bahia Blanca73316:4212
    4Biblioteca Atenas71603:219
    5Costa Brava72327:709
    6Villa Mitre82333:5-29
    7Deportivo Rincon72234:6-28
    8Cipolletti71334:6-26
    9Kimberley ✔ 81255:11-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano ✔ 751114:7716
    2Atl. Rafaela ✔ 75119:5416
    3San Martin Formosa ✔ 842210:7314
    4Chivilcoy73228:6211
    5Sarmiento de La Banda73136:11-510
    6Juventud Antoniana82338:809
    79 de Julio Rafaela ✔ 71425:6-17
    8Independiente Chivilcoy ✔ 81348:11-36
    9Douglas Haig ✔ 70162:9-71

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ciudad Bolivar is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    Kimberley is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Sportivo Belgrano is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    Atl. Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    San Martin Formosa is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    9 de Julio Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Independiente Chivilcoy is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Douglas Haig is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)