Villa Mitre vs Deportivo Rincón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
136
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 20', Perez T. , Mujica P. ,
  • 28', Zadel D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, De Hoyos D. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Villa Mitre
63.8%
Draw
24.3%
Deportivo Rincón
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 24% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 23.6% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.47)
    3.76
    (3.75)
    7.73
    (6.1)
    9.2%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Villa Mitre is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón 1:0
    26.04.2025 Deportivo Rincón - Villa Mitre 0:2
    07.07.2024 Deportivo Rincón - Villa Mitre 1:1
    11.05.2024 Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón 2:0
    Latest results of Villa Mitre
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig761011:4719
    29 de Julio Rafaela741215:9613
    3Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    4Chivilcoy73226:6011
    5Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    6Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    7El Linqueno72236:10-48
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas71334:7-36
    10Gimnasia E.R70165:14-91


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin Formosa63218:5311
    2Sol de America63127:4310
    3Defensores de Vilelas731311:10110
    4Juventud Antoniana63127:7010
    5Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    6Boca Unidos622210:918
    7Tucuman Central62135:8-37
    8Sarmiento Resistencia70617:9-26
    9Sarmiento de La Banda60333:7-43


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti732210:9111
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Argentino MM62314:319
    5Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    6Deportivo Rincon62227:708
    7Costa Brava71426:517
    8Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25
    9San Martin Mendoza61231:5-45


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Germinal62314:319
    5Alvarado72324:409
    6Santamarina61416:427
    7Villa Mitre61323:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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