Gernika vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 0, Okolo ,

Chances of winning


Gernika
52.8%
Draw
30.4%
Amorebieta
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 27.9% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.8% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika's performance.
  • Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amorebieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gernika - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.41)
    3.95
    (3.26)
    7.14
    (2.64)
    -16.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Gernika has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
    Latest results of Gernika
    04.10.2025 SD Logroñés - Gernika 1:1
    28.09.2025 Gernika - Alfaro 1:0
    20.09.2025 Náxara - Gernika 1:4
    13.09.2025 Utebo - Gernika 3:1
    07.09.2025 Zaragoza B - Gernika 2:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    05.10.2025 Amorebieta - Basconia 2:1
    28.09.2025 SD Logroñés - Amorebieta 1:1
    21.09.2025 Amorebieta - Beasain 2:1
    14.09.2025 Ebro - Amorebieta 0:0
    10.09.2025 Zamora - Amorebieta 4:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union27168346:242256
    2Alaves B27148532:151750
    3UD Logrones27145859:283147
    4Tudelano27137746:321446
    5Utebo FC27136847:351245
    6Ebro27914437:251241
    7Eibar B271251032:31141
    8Sestao271010730:26440
    9Amorebieta27108927:25238
    10Gernika271151128:33-538
    11Basconia27711935:36-132
    12Naxara27871229:37-831
    13Ejea27791129:40-1130
    14SD Logrones27612919:32-1330
    15Mutilvera27851427:46-1929
    16Beasain275101229:38-925
    17Alfaro27471622:44-2219
    18Zaragoza B27471621:48-2719

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