Gernika vs Amorebieta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Gernika - Amorebieta
11/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Chances of winning


Gernika
35.8%
Draw
29.6%
Amorebieta
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 27.9% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.8% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Amorebieta aligns with the current prediction.
  • Gernika - Amorebieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.41)
    3
    (3.26)
    2.65
    (2.64)
    9.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Gernika has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
    Latest results of Gernika
    04.10.2025 SD Logroñés - Gernika 1:1
    28.09.2025 Gernika - Alfaro 1:0
    20.09.2025 Náxara - Gernika 1:4
    13.09.2025 Utebo - Gernika 3:1
    07.09.2025 Zaragoza B - Gernika 2:0
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    05.10.2025 Amorebieta - Basconia 2:1
    28.09.2025 SD Logroñés - Amorebieta 1:1
    21.09.2025 Amorebieta - Beasain 2:1
    14.09.2025 Ebro - Amorebieta 0:0
    10.09.2025 Zamora - Amorebieta 4:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Utebo FC531111:5610
    2UD Logrones53118:4410
    3Tudelano53116:4210
    4Zaragoza B63128:9-110
    5Sestao52307:349
    6R. Union52306:339
    7SD Logrones52305:239
    8Amorebieta52215:418
    9Alaves B52124:317
    10Gernika52127:707
    11Ebro51315:416
    12Alfaro61239:11-25
    13Ejea51227:10-35
    14Eibar B51135:8-34
    15Mutilvera51134:10-64
    16Basconia50325:7-23
    17Naxara50324:8-43
    18Beasain50236:10-42

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