Gernika vs Basconia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Okolo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Gernika
48.5%
Draw
26.8%
Basconia
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 27.4% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 29.8% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gernika - Basconia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.77)
    3.41
    (3.31)
    3.69
    (4.26)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gernika - Basconia?
  • Users Predictions: Gernika will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gernika will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Gernika has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Basconia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Gernika is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Gernika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Gernika
    20.12.2025 Gernika - Eibar B 1:2
    14.12.2025 Sestao - Gernika 2:2
    07.12.2025 Gernika - Mutilvera 1:0
    30.11.2025 UD Logroñés - Gernika 4:0
    23.11.2025 Gernika - Beasain 0:0
    Latest results of Basconia
    20.12.2025 Basconia - Sestao 3:1
    14.12.2025 Tudelano - Basconia 1:2
    06.12.2025 Basconia - Eibar B 1:1
    29.11.2025 Mutilvera - Basconia 1:1
    22.11.2025 Basconia - UD Logroñés 3:3
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union25158242:202253
    2Tudelano25136643:271645
    3Alaves B25128529:141544
    4Utebo FC25135745:321344
    5UD Logrones25125852:272541
    6Sestao25109628:23539
    7Gernika25115927:26138
    8Ebro25813432:221037
    9Eibar B251051026:30-435
    10Amorebieta2597926:25134
    11Basconia2579933:34-130
    12Naxara25861128:35-730
    13SD Logrones25612718:28-1030
    14Ejea25771126:37-1128
    15Mutilvera25751324:41-1726
    16Beasain254101125:34-922
    17Alfaro25451620:42-2217
    18Zaragoza B25451619:46-2717

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