Beasain vs Gernika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Pita M. ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Zubillaga J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 65', 3 - 0, Huete Beloki A. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Lorea A. ,

Chances of winning


Beasain
41.9%
Draw
32%
Gernika
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 29.3% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 24.5% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beasain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Beasain - Gernika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.07)
    2.87
    (3.09)
    3.52
    (3.38)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent performances by Beasain have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gernika is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Beasain could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Beasain won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Beasain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beasain - Gernika were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Gernika - Beasain 0:0
    22.04.2023 Beasain - Gernika 3:2
    11.12.2022 Gernika - Beasain 2:1
    Latest results of Beasain
    28.02.2026 Beasain - Tudelano 1:5
    22.02.2026 SD Logroñés - Beasain 1:1
    14.02.2026 Beasain - Alavés B 0:0
    08.02.2026 Alfaro - Beasain 1:3
    Latest results of Gernika
    08.03.2026 Gernika - UD Logroñés 1:3
    28.02.2026 Eibar B - Gernika 3:2
    22.02.2026 Gernika - Sestao 0:0
    14.02.2026 Mutilvera - Gernika 2:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union27168346:242256
    2Alaves B27148532:151750
    3UD Logrones27145859:283147
    4Tudelano27137746:321446
    5Utebo FC27136847:351245
    6Ebro27914437:251241
    7Eibar B271251032:31141
    8Sestao271010730:26440
    9Amorebieta27108927:25238
    10Gernika271151128:33-538
    11Basconia27711935:36-132
    12Naxara27871229:37-831
    13Ejea27791129:40-1130
    14SD Logrones27612919:32-1330
    15Mutilvera27851427:46-1929
    16Beasain275101229:38-925
    17Alfaro27471622:44-2219
    18Zaragoza B27471621:48-2719

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