Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mutilvera
22.7% | Draw
28.9% | Gernika
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mutilvera's form might have worsened.Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mutilvera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mutilvera - Gernika Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↑
(3.05) |
3.16 ↑
(3.04) |
1.89 ↓
(2.23) |
9.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mutilvera won 1.
- Mutilvera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gernika's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gernika will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mutilvera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mutilvera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mutilvera won against Gernika?
Mutilvera has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gernika won against Mutilvera?
Gernika has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mutilvera - Gernika were as follows:
07.12.2025
Gernika
-
Mutilvera
1:0
10.02.2024
Mutilvera
-
Gernika
3:0
01.10.2023
Gernika
-
Mutilvera
1:1
14.05.2023
Mutilvera
-
Gernika
0:1
15.01.2023
Gernika
-
Mutilvera
2:1
Latest results of Mutilvera
Latest results of Gernika
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 42:20 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Tudelano | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | UD Logrones | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 52:27 | 25 | 41 |
| 6 | Sestao | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Gernika | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Ebro | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 37 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Amorebieta | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Basconia | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Naxara | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 18:28 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Ejea | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Beasain | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 17 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
