Haras El-Hodood vs Ghazl El Mahalla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Harras El Hodood Stadium (Alexandria).

Premier League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.89
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
75% (286/382)	73% (198/272)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	0.00
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
7	9
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
22	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
75% (286/382)	73% (198/272)
Long passes
46% (35/76)	42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
62% (90/146)	62% (56/91)
Crosses
29% (9/31)	55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.71	1.41
Throw-ins
23	11
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
65% (15/23)	75% (18/24)
Duels won
55	73
Clearances
21	41
Interceptions
3	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	0.64
Goals prevented
0.00	0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Toure M. 🟨,
43', Awad M. 🟨,
44', Ouka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Toure M. ↓, Mayhoub E. ↑,
62', El Negely M. ↓, El Sheikh A. ↑,
62', El Deghemy M. ↓, Nail A. ↑,
64', Saidi K. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
70', Mohamed M. 🟨,
75', Body A. 🟨,
77', Magli M. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
79', Body A. ↓, El Moghzi M. ↑,
79', Zakaria Y. ↓, Shomari R. ↑,
84', Hamdi M. 🟨,
86', Mayhoub E. 🟨,
88', Awad M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
88', Arfaoui R. ↓, Etman A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Haras El-Hodood
28.2%

Draw
36.9%

Ghazl El Mahalla
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

37.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

37.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.91)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.37)	5.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 3.
Haras El-Hodood is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Ghazl El Mahalla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Haras El-Hodood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ghazl El Mahalla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against Ghazl El Mahalla?

Haras El-Hodood has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Haras El-Hodood?

Ghazl El Mahalla has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:

21.01.2025 Ghazl El Mahalla - Haras El-Hodood 0:1

16.04.2024 Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla 1:1

01.10.2023 Ghazl El Mahalla - Haras El-Hodood 1:1

14.07.2023 Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla 2:1

28.05.2023 Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla 3:2

Latest results of Haras El-Hodood

18.10.2025 Ismaily - Haras El-Hodood 3:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Haras El-Hodood - Ceramica Cleopatra 0:3 ✺

27.09.2025 ZED - Haras El-Hodood 0:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Haras El-Hodood - Al Ahly Cairo 2:3 ✺

19.09.2025 Smouha - Haras El-Hodood 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla

17.10.2025 Ghazl El Mahalla - Kahrabaa Ismailia 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Ghazl El Mahalla - ENPPI 0:0 ✺

22.09.2025 Petrojet - Ghazl El Mahalla 0:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla 2:1 ✺

Egyptian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ceramica Cleopatra	11	7	2	2	13:4	9	23
2	Al Ahly	10	6	3	1	19:12	7	21
3	Al Masry	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
4	Zamalek	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
5	Enppi	11	4	6	1	10:6	4	18
6	Pyramids	8	5	2	1	13:4	9	17
7	Wadi Degla	11	4	4	3	12:9	3	16
8	ZED	12	4	4	4	11:10	1	16
9	Smouha	10	3	6	1	8:5	3	15
10	Ghazl El Mahallah	12	2	9	1	7:4	3	15
11	Modern Sport	11	4	3	4	14:15	-1	15
12	National Bank Egypt	10	3	5	2	10:5	5	14
13	Petrojet	10	3	5	2	9:10	-1	14
14	El Gouna	10	2	6	2	7:9	-2	12
15	Haras El Hodood	11	3	3	5	8:13	-5	12
16	El Gaish	12	2	4	6	5:15	-10	10
17	Arab Contractors	12	1	6	5	6:11	-5	9
18	Pharco	11	1	6	4	4:10	-6	9
19	Al Ittihad	10	2	2	6	6:13	-7	8
20	Kahrabaa Ismailia	11	2	2	7	9:20	-11	8
21	El Ismaily	12	2	1	9	5:15	-10	7

Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )