Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Referee: Nasef M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/376) | 71% (213/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/376) | 71% (213/299) |
| Long passes |
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| 53% (30/57) | 23% (14/62) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (67/106) | 51% (40/78) |
| Crosses |
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| 35% (8/23) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 80% (8/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Grendo M. 🟨,
- 21', El Fayoumi E. 🟨,
- 32', El Fayoumi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Shousha A. ⚽,
- 51', Sillah M. ↓, Hamza A. ↑,
- 52', Ashraf K. ↓, Farouk M. ↑,
- 60', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Walid B. ↑,
- 67', Sulieman A. ↓, Shika M. E. S. ↑,
- 68', Ounajem M. ↓, Koshary M. ↑,
- 73', Toure M. 🟨,
- 78', Zakaria Y. ↓, Wahid A. ↑,
- 78', Grendo M. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
- 80', Yehia K. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
- 90', Shousha A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Salah M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Body A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ghazl El Mahalla
40.1% | Draw
32.5% | Kahrabaa Ismailia
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ghazl El Mahalla's form might have worsened.Kahrabaa Ismailia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kahrabaa Ismailia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ghazl El Mahalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahrabaa Ismailia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kahrabaa Ismailia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ghazl El Mahalla - Kahrabaa Ismailia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2) |
2.87 ↓
(2.98) |
3.41 ↓
(4.18) |
7.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mahalla - Kahrabaa Ismailia?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kahrabaa Ismailia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Kahrabaa Ismailia (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 2 - 50%). Kahrabaa Ismailia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Ghazl El Mahalla is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Kahrabaa Ismailia?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kahrabaa Ismailia won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Kahrabaa Ismailia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ghazl El Mahalla - Kahrabaa Ismailia were as follows:
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Latest results of Kahrabaa Ismailia
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
