Zamalek vs Ghazl El Mahalla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus, On Time Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.91
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
243
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
82% (391/478)67% (166/248)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.43
Total shots
243
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
396
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
146
Passes
82% (391/478)67% (166/248)
Long passes
48% (29/61)36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
62% (89/143)49% (29/59)
Crosses
37% (14/38)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.200.53
Throw-ins
2712
Fouls
614
Tackles
100% (14/14)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4734
Clearances
436
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.431.12
Goals prevented
0.430.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Grendo M. 🟨,
  • 24', Abdelsalam M. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Rabie A. , Bentayg M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', El Hakim A. H. A. , Salah M. ,
  • 56', Sherif A. , Maali A. ,
  • 62', Toure M. , Walid B. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Salah M. , Arfaoui R. (A),
  • 68', Grendo M. , El Moghzi M. ,
  • 71', Hamdi A. , El Wensh Mahmoud ,
  • 71', Nasser A. , Banza C. ,
  • 71', Rabie A. , Jaziri S. ,
  • 83', Saidi K. , Abdelghani M. ,
  • 83', Arfaoui R. , Etman A. ,
  • 87', Ismail M. , Farouk Gaafar S. ,

Chances of winning


Zamalek
67.3%
Draw
22.5%
Ghazl El Mahalla
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 23.8% 11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 23.1% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.43)
    4.26
    (3.89)
    9.41
    (7.99)
    4.3%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Zamalek is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Ghazl El Mahalla - Zamalek 0:4
    27.06.2023 Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla 2:0
    24.01.2023 Ghazl El Mahalla - Zamalek 2:1
    Latest results of Zamalek
    29.09.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek 2:1
    23.09.2025 Zamalek - El Gouna 1:1
    18.09.2025 Ismaily - Zamalek 0:2
    13.09.2025 Zamalek - Al Masry 3:0
    31.08.2025 Wadi Degla - Zamalek 2:1
    Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Masry1053218:11718
    2Zamalek1053214:7718
    3Al Ahly953117:11618
    4Ceramica Cleopatra952210:4617
    5Enppi104519:5417
    6Wadi Degla1044211:7416
    7Pyramids742111:4714
    8Smouha93518:5314
    9Petrojet93518:8014
    10El Gouna92617:6112
    11ZED103347:7012
    12Modern Sport933311:12-112
    13National Bank Egypt92527:5211
    14Ghazl El Mahallah101816:4211
    15Haras El Hodood93247:10-311
    16El Gaish102353:11-89
    17Al Ittihad92255:11-68
    18Kahrabaa Ismailia92259:18-98
    19Pharco90633:8-56
    20Arab Contractors100553:9-65
    21El Ismaily101182:13-114

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )