Giana Erminio vs Alcione – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Giana Erminio - Alcione
Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
120
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
129
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', Albertini A. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Lamesta A. ,
  • 36', Galli G. , Bright K. ,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Marconi M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Morselli F. , Samele L. ,
  • 46', Pitou J. , Renault G. ,
  • 56', Akammadu F. , Capelli A. ,
  • 73', Albertini A. , Ruffini L. ,
  • 73', Nucifero T. , Lischetti L. ,
  • 78', Ferri L. 🟨,
  • 79', Muroni M. , Lanzi J. ,
  • 79', Miculi A. , Giorgeschi S. ,
  • 83', Pinto D. , Renda F. ,
  • 83', Berretta A. , Vitale V. ,
  • 85', Lanzi J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ciappellano D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Giana Erminio
42.4%
Draw
30.4%
Alcione
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 29.4% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.5% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Giana Erminio - Alcione Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.09)
    3.03
    (3.1)
    3.38
    (3.37)
    8.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Alcione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Giana Erminio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Giana Erminio - Alcione were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Alcione - Giana Erminio 2:2
    14.12.2024 Giana Erminio - Alcione 0:2
    02.11.2022 Giana Erminio - Alcione 2:1
    Latest results of Giana Erminio
    11.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Novara 0:0
    04.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Lumezzane 2:1
    28.09.2025 Lecco - Giana Erminio 0:0
    Latest results of Alcione
    17.10.2025 Alcione - Inter U23 1:2
    11.10.2025 Pergolettese - Alcione 0:2
    05.10.2025 Alcione - Vicenza Virtus 0:1
    29.09.2025 Ospitaletto - Alcione 0:1
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza1192022:51729
    2Brescia1173120:61424
    3Lecco1173115:6924
    4Inter U231054116:10619
    5Alcione Milano1153312:8418
    6Pro Vercelli1151512:14-216
    7Trento1127213:14-113
    8Renate1134411:14-313
    9Pergolettese1133510:14-412
    10AlbinoLeffe1133517:18-112
    11Giana Erminio112637:11-412
    12Cittadella103347:9-212
    13Virtus Verona1125415:15011
    14Novara111828:9-111
    15Ospitaletto1124510:14-410
    16Dolomiti Bellunesi1024410:17-710
    17Arzignano1124514:18-410
    18Lumezzane1122712:21-98
    19Pro Patria111558:17-98
    20Triestina1034310:91-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation