Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 17
- Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (180/299) | 66% (203/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (180/299) | 66% (203/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (24/83) | 41% (32/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (45/101) | 59% (83/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (20/25) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Stead C. ⚽, Kanu I. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Dack B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 51', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
- 60', Rowe A. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 63', Stead C. 🟨,
- 64', Vokes S. 🟨,
- 72', Hutton R. 🟨,
- 72', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
- 72', McCleary G. ↓, Akomeah T. ↑,
- 74', Williams J. 🟨,
- 80', Kanu I. 🟨,
- 84', Ofoborh N. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
- 85', Smith K. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
- 85', Stead C. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
- 86', Williams J. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
- 88', Glover R. ↓, Kensdale O. ↑,
- 90+4', Khumbeni N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
28% | Draw
27.4% | Barnet
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Gillingham - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(3) |
3.4 ↑
(3.34) |
2.14 ↓
(2.25) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
- Gillingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barnet's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Morris G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D.
(Inactive)
Assombalonga B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Barnet?
Gillingham has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Gillingham?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Barnet were as follows:
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
