Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 14
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (125/244) | 62% (170/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (125/244) | 62% (170/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (31/86) | 26% (18/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (60/121) | 60% (77/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Morris G. ↓, Turner J. ↑,
- 7', 0 - 1, Udoh D. ⚽, Cesay K. (A),
- 23', Dack B. (Pen),
- 27', 0 - 2, Cesay K. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
- 33', Ashley O. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 2, Andrews J. ⚽, Vokes S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Udoh D. 🟨,
- 57', Dack B. 🟨,
- 58', Woodburn B. 🟨,
- 61', Dack B. ↓, Little A. ↑,
- 66', Coleman E. 🟨,
- 67', Woodburn B. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
- 72', Garbutt L. 🟨,
- 73', N'Mai K. 🟨,
- 79', N'Mai K. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
- 81', Andrews J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 81', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
- 81', Coleman E. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 85', Oluwo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
37.3% | Draw
28.6% | Salford City
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Gillingham - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.28) |
3.3 ↑
(3.26) |
2.77 ↓
(3.14) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Salford City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Salford (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Salford (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4.
- Gillingham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Salford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Gale S.
(Yellow Cards)
Hutton R.
(Red Card)
Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Williams J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Salford: Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
Grant J.
(Inactive)
Mnoga H.
(Yellow Cards)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Salford City?
Gillingham has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Gillingham?
Salford City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Salford City were as follows:
05.04.2025
Salford City
-
Gillingham
2:2
07.12.2024
Gillingham
-
Salford City
1:0
02.03.2024
Salford City
-
Gillingham
0:2
18.11.2023
Gillingham
-
Salford City
3:1
08.05.2023
Salford City
-
Gillingham
0:1
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
