Walsall vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Davis W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.202.19
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
53
Passes
69% (257/375)58% (154/265)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.202.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.152.64
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
78
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
176
Passes
69% (257/375)58% (154/265)
Long passes
33% (31/95)24% (21/88)
Passes in final third
59% (70/119)42% (42/99)
Crosses
17% (4/24)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.55
Throw ins
3130
Fouls
617
Tackles
70% (7/10)62% (13/21)
Duels won
6157
Clearances
3335
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.642.15
Goals prevented
0.640.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Loupalo-Bi A. , Clarke C. (A),
  • 38', Pattison A. , Lakin C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Hale R. , McCleary G. (A),
  • 52', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 64', Jellis J. , Kanu D. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Kanu D. ,
  • 69', Palmer-Houlden S. , Andrews J. ,
  • 74', Loupalo-Bi A. , Adomah A. ,
  • 82', Waldock H. , Williams J. ,
  • 90+4', Gale S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Walsall
54.4%
Draw
25.9%
Gillingham
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 28.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 28.2% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walsall's performance.
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Walsall that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Walsall - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.1)
    3.6
    (3.26)
    4.68
    (3.41)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Gillingham?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Walsall (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Walsall will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1.
    • Walsall has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gillingham is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Walsall is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C. (Injury) Masterson C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Inactive) McKenzie R. (Inactive) Smith J. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Gillingham were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0
    11.02.2025 Walsall - Gillingham 1:1
    03.02.2024 Gillingham - Walsall 1:1
    14.10.2023 Walsall - Gillingham 4:1
    Latest results of Walsall
    21.03.2026 Walsall - Newport County 2:1
    17.03.2026 Walsall - Cambridge United 0:0
    14.03.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Walsall 0:3
    10.03.2026 Salford City - Walsall 1:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League