Bucheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean Cup Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu
Result
3:1 ET
14/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Korean Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 45+1', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Lee J. ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Kim Kang-San ,
  • Extra Time (2 - 0)
  • 97', 🟨,
  • 108', 2 - 1, Lee J. ,
  • 120+4', 3 - 1, Gong Min-Hyun ,

Chances of winning


Bucheon
21.8%
Draw
28.4%
Gimcheon Sangmu
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 32.1% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 31.9% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bucheon's form might have worsened.
  • Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimcheon Sangmu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bucheon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.19
    (2.95)
    3.24
    (2.85)
    1.86
    (2.49)
    8.4%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gimcheon Sangmu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gimcheon Sangmu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu were as follows:
    07.10.2023 Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon 3:1
    01.07.2023 Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu 0:3
    15.04.2023 Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon 4:1
    Latest results of Bucheon
    10.05.2025 Gyeongnam - Bucheon 0:3
    04.05.2025 Bucheon - Jeonnam Dragons 2:2
    26.04.2025 Bucheon - Incheon United 1:3
    16.04.2025 Bucheon - Jeju 1:0
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Yangsan EogokBusan Kyotong1 : 2
    2ByeBusan
    4ByeSuwon FC
    5Gwangju FCBye
    7Gyeongju KHNPBye
    8Seoul JungnangPaju Citizen0 : 3
    9Ulsan HDBye
    13Gimhae JaemicsChuncheon2 : 4
    14ByeIncheon
    15GyeongnamBye
    16Pyeongchang UnitedYangpyeong2 : 1
    17HyochangGijang United0 : 4
    18ByeGimpo FC
    19Cheonan CityBye
    20CheongsolPocheon0 : 5
    24ByePohang
    25Yeoju CitizenMokpo4 : 3
    26ByeBucheon FC 1995
    28ByeJeju SK
    29Gimcheon SangmuBye
    31Suwon BluewingsBye
    32ByeSeoul E-Land
    33Incheon SeogotDaejeon Korail0 : 9
    34ByeCheongju
    35ChangwonBye
    36GeonyungNamyangju1 : 5
    40ByeSeoul
    41Dangjin CitizenGangneung1 : 2
    42ByeAsan
    44ByeDaejeon
    45JeonbukBye
    47Ansan GreenersBye
    48Jeonbuk JeonjuPyeongtaek Citizen0 : 6
    49Sejong SAUlsan Citizen3 : 0
    50ByeJeonnam
    52ByeAnyang
    53DaeguBye
    55GimhaeBye
    56Yangcheon TNTGeoje0 : 1
    57GangwonBye
    61Siheung CitizenBye
    62ByeSeongnam
    63HwaseongBye
    64Jinju CitizenYeoncheon1 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1Busan KyotongBusan2 : 1
    2ByeSuwon FC
    3Gwangju FCBye
    4Gyeongju KHNPPaju Citizen4 : 1
    5Ulsan HDBye
    7ChuncheonIncheon0 : 3
    8GyeongnamPyeongchang United0 : 3
    9Gijang UnitedGimpo FC0 : 4
    10Cheonan CityPocheon1 : 0
    12ByePohang
    13Yeoju CitizenBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    14ByeJeju SK
    15Gimcheon SangmuBye
    16Suwon BluewingsSeoul E-Land2 : 1
    17Daejeon KorailCheongju1 : 0
    18ChangwonNamyangju1 : 2
    20ByeSeoul
    21GangneungAsan1 : 0
    22ByeDaejeon
    23JeonbukBye
    24Ansan GreenersPyeongtaek Citizen3 : 1
    25Sejong SAJeonnam3 : 1
    26ByeAnyang
    27DaeguBye
    28GimhaeGeoje5 : 1
    29GangwonBye
    31Siheung CitizenSeongnam3 : 2
    32HwaseongJinju Citizen1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Busan KyotongSuwon FC1 : 2
    2Gwangju FCGyeongju KHNP2 : 0
    3Ulsan HDBye
    4IncheonPyeongchang United2 : 1
    5Gimpo FCCheonan City2 : 1
    6ByePohang
    7Bucheon FC 1995Jeju SK1 : 0
    8Gimcheon SangmuSuwon Bluewings2 : 0
    9Daejeon KorailNamyangju3 : 0
    10ByeSeoul
    11GangneungDaejeon1 : 2
    12JeonbukAnsan Greeners3 : 0
    13Sejong SAAnyang0 : 1
    14DaeguGimhae2 : 0
    15GangwonBye
    16Siheung CitizenHwaseong1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Suwon FCGwangju FC1 : 2
    2Ulsan HDIncheon3 : 0
    3Gimpo FCPohang2 : 1
    4Bucheon FC 1995Gimcheon Sangmu3 : 1
    5Daejeon KorailSeoul1 : 2
    6DaejeonJeonbuk2 : 3
    7AnyangDaegu1 : 2
    8GangwonSiheung Citizen2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gwangju FCUlsan HD1 : 0
    2Gimpo FCBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    3SeoulJeonbuk0 : 1
    4DaeguGangwon1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
    2JeonbukGangwon

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2