Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu
Result
1:1
22/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 23
  • Referee: Ko Hyung-Jin (Kor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
49
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
49
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
46
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1510
Fouls
815
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Yu Je-Ho 🟨,
  • 16', Kim Seung-Sub 🟨,
  • 23', Kim Kyung-Min 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Asani J. , Choi Kyoung-Rok (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Park Sang-Hyeok , Lee Dong-Gyeong ,
  • 46', Park Dae-Won , Park Cheol-Woo ,
  • 46', Yu Je-Ho , Lee K. ,
  • 46', Park In-Hyeok , Shin Chang-Moo ,
  • 62', Jeong J. , Oh Hoo-Sung ,
  • 67', Lee Dong-Jun , Jeon Byung-Kwan ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong , Kim Seung-Sub (A),
  • 74', Sim Sang-Min , Kim Han-Gil ,
  • 74', Kim Seung-Sub , Go Jae-Hyeon ,
  • 87', Maeng Seong-Ung , Park Se-Jin ,
  • 90+1', Asani J. , Ahn Hyeok-Ju ,
  • 90+2', Park Cheol-Woo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gwangju
39.6%
Draw
28.6%
Gimcheon Sangmu
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 29.2% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 29.6% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.6)
    3.27
    (3.21)
    2.91
    (2.7)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 43.1%81.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 0.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 0.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu 1:0
    16.03.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju 0:0
    28.09.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju 2:0
    15.06.2024 Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:0
    06.04.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju 2:1
    Latest results of Gwangju
    18.07.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 2:1
    02.07.2025 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 1:0
    22.06.2025 Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen 2:2
    18.06.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    13.06.2025 Gwangju - FC Seoul 1:3
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 26186248:202860
    2Gimcheon Sangmu27137743:281546
    3Daejeon26119635:32342
    4Pohang26125932:34-241
    5Seoul26910731:31037
    6Gwangju FC27981027:30-335
    7Gangwon27981025:30-535
    8Ulsan HD26971033:33034
    9Suwon FC27871239:40-131
    10Jeju SK27871229:35-631
    11Anyang26831530:35-527
    12Daegu27371728:52-2416

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )