Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        22/07/2025 at  06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  K League 1 - Round 23
- Referee: Ko Hyung-Jin (Kor)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | Optus Sport | 
|  China | K-Ball | 
|  Hong-kong | M Plus Live | 
|  Malaysia | Astro Football | 
|  South-korea | Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea | 
|  World | K League TV, Onefootball | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 54% | 46% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 10 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 15 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Yu Je-Ho 🟨, 
- 16', Kim Seung-Sub 🟨, 
- 23', Kim Kyung-Min 🟨, 
- 37', 1 - 0, Asani J. ⚽, Choi Kyoung-Rok (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Lee Dong-Gyeong ↑, 
- 46', Park Dae-Won ↓, Park Cheol-Woo ↑, 
- 46', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Lee K. ↑, 
- 46', Park In-Hyeok ↓, Shin Chang-Moo ↑, 
- 62', Jeong J. ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑, 
- 67', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑, 
- 73', 1 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽, Kim Seung-Sub (A), 
- 74', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Kim Han-Gil ↑, 
- 74', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Go Jae-Hyeon ↑, 
- 87', Maeng Seong-Ung ↓, Park Se-Jin ↑, 
- 90+1', Asani J. ↓, Ahn Hyeok-Ju ↑, 
- 90+2', Park Cheol-Woo 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Gwangju 39.6%
 | Draw 28.6%
 | Gimcheon Sangmu 31.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.43 ↓ (2.6)
 | 3.27 ↑ (3.21)
 | 2.91 ↑ (2.7)
 | 6% (6.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            24 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 43.1% – 81.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Gimcheon Sangmu (2.30) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 0.7:0.4).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
                    
                    
                        
                            Gwangju has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against Gwangju?
                    
                    
                        
                             Gimcheon Sangmu has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.05.2025 
                                Gwangju 
                                - 
                                Gimcheon Sangmu 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.03.2025 
                                Gimcheon Sangmu 
                                - 
                                Gwangju 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.09.2024 
                                Gimcheon Sangmu 
                                - 
                                Gwangju 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.06.2024 
                                Gwangju 
                                - 
                                Gimcheon Sangmu 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.04.2024 
                                Gimcheon Sangmu 
                                - 
                                Gwangju 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Gwangju                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
South Korean K-League 1 Table
Championship Group|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 59:30 | 29 | 71 | 
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:39 | 17 | 58 | 
| 3 | Daejeon | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:41 | 9 | 58 | 
| 4 | Pohang | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 40:45 | -5 | 51 | 
| 5 | Seoul | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 48 | 
| 6 | Gangwon | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:40 | -6 | 44 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )