Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Germany | Laola1 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, ENA Sports |
 Switzerland | LAOLA1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Mugosa S. ⚽, Lee Myoung-Joo (A),
- 45+1', Kim Yi-Seok 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Mugosa S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kim Yi-Seok ↓, Lee Soo-Bin ↑,
- 46', Kim In-Gyun ↓, Hong Yun-Sang ↑,
- 46', Park Se-Jin ↓, Yoon Jae-Seok ↑,
- 46', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
- 47', Lee G. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Go Jae-Hyeon ⚽, Park Cheol-Woo (A),
- 59', Lee Dong-Ryul ↓, Gerso ↑,
- 74', Go Jae-Hyeon ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
- 74', Oh H. ↓, Jeong Chi-In ↑,
- 74', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Undabarrena I. ↑,
- 81', Lee G. ↓, Jung Jae-Min ↑,
- 85', Mugosa S. ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
- 88', Yoon Jae-Seok 🟨,
- 90+2', Kim Dong-Heon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Incheon United
40.9% | Draw
29.9% | Gimcheon Sangmu
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.22) |
3.12 ↓
(3.27) |
3.24 ↑
(3.16) |
6.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 1.
- Recent form of Incheon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Gimcheon Sangmu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Incheon United won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
Incheon United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against Incheon United?
Gimcheon Sangmu has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu were as follows:
15.09.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Incheon United
2:0
05.07.2024
Incheon United
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
19.06.2024
Incheon United
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0
05.05.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Incheon United
2:2
18.09.2022
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Incheon United
1:0
Latest results of Incheon United
Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Pohang | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Jeju SK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Incheon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Daejeon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Gangwon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Anyang | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Gwangju FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
