Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Gomez N. ,
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Medina R. ,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
40.3%
Draw
32.9%
Sarmiento de La Banda
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 32.2% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 32.8% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's performance.
  • Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de La Banda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de La Banda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.55)
    2.92
    (2.79)
    3.58
    (2.75)
    4%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sarmiento La Banda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0