Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Gomez N. ,
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Medina R. ,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
40.3%
Draw
32.9%
Sarmiento de La Banda
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 32.2% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 32.8% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's performance.
  • Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de La Banda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de La Banda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.55)
    2.92
    (2.79)
    3.58
    (2.75)
    4%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sarmiento La Banda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig33008:449
    2Independiente Chivilcoy32017:436
    3Defensores Belgrano VR32017:526
    4El Linqueno32014:406
    5Sportivo Belgrano31203:035
    69 de Julio Rafaela31114:6-24
    7Sportivo Las Parejas30212:3-12
    8Atletico Escobar30123:5-21
    9Gimnasia E.R30122:5-31
    10Chivilcoy30121:5-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana22005:236
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre31111:104
    5Sol de America21012:203
    6Boca Unidos31025:6-13
    7San Martin Formosa21012:3-13
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda30122:5-31


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava31204:135
    2Juventud U.U31203:125
    3Deportivo Rincon21104:224
    4Cipolletti31115:414
    5San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    6Biblioteca Atenas21013:213
    7Huracan Las Heras30211:3-22
    8Argentino MM30210:2-22
    9Fundacion Amigos20112:5-31


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca22004:046
    2Sol de Mayo31203:125
    3Kimberley31201:015
    4Alvarado31112:204
    5Villa Mitre21012:113
    6Circulo Deportivo21012:3-13
    7Germinal30212:3-12
    8Santamarina30212:4-22
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
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