Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Gomez N. ,
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Medina R. ,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
40.3%
Draw
32.9%
Sarmiento de La Banda
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 32.2% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 32.8% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's performance.
  • Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de La Banda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de La Banda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.55)
    2.92
    (2.79)
    3.58
    (2.75)
    4%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sarmiento La Banda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    39 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    4Independiente Chivilcoy63129:6310
    5Chivilcoy63125:5010
    6Sportivo Belgrano61415:327
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Costa Brava61415:327
    5Huracan Las Heras51312:3-16
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley62315:419
    3Alvarado62314:319
    4Sol de Mayo52214:228
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo51042:9-73
    9Guillermo Brown50145:11-61

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
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