Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs Atlético de Rafaela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/07/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 23
  • Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
151
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
90
Corner Kicks
91
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
170153
Dangerous Attacks
11060

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Jappert K. 🟨,
  • 37', Kozlovsky N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 58', Ciccolini L. , Esposito G. ,
  • 66', Valdivia M. , Bravo I. ,
  • 66', Galeano J. , Pardo M. ,
  • 70', Romano N. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 76', Stizza J. 🟨,
  • 77', Stizza J. , Vidal P. ,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Esposito G. ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Solis N. ,
  • 90', Antonini F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Colombo R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
51.6%
Draw
29.4%
Atlético de Rafaela
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 29% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 27.7% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlético de Rafaela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.75)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    4.87
    (5.19)
    7.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlético de Rafaela?
  • Users Predictions: Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 1.
    • Gimnasia Mendoza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético de Rafaela has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gimnasia Mendoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Gimnasia Mendoza to win the game is with odds 1.81.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 4:1
    18.09.2022 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlético de Rafaela 1:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez84409:2716
    3Nueva Chicago843110:6415
    4San Martin T835010:5514
    5Midland83418:5313
    6Temperley83417:5213
    7Atl. Rafaela83326:5112
    8Quilmes832311:7411
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Atletico Atlanta83148:8010
    11Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    12Almagro82244:6-28
    13Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    14Agropecuario82246:9-38
    15Patronato82244:9-58
    16San Martin S.J81437:9-27
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation