Atlético de Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Tiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/05/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
39.8%
Draw
32.8%
Gimnasia y Tiro
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 33.9% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 31.9% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.42)
    2.82
    (2.7)
    3.39
    (3.25)
    8.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In recent matches, Atlético Rafaela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Atlético Rafaela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
    05.07.2024 Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro 0:0
    18.02.2024 Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation