Result
1:1
24/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (225/341) | 73% (290/395) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (225/341) | 73% (290/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (29/83) | 36% (29/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (61/119) | 58% (62/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Antonini F. (A),
- 29', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 35', Arias S. 🟨,
- 39', Antonini F. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Malcorra I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Millan L. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 46', Sanchez U. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
- 56', Simoni V. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
- 62', Zabala F. 🟨,
- 72', Saavedra F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
- 72', Antonini F. ↓, Ortiz T. ↑,
- 77', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
- 81', Pussetto I. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 87', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 87', Avalos G. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
- 90', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Abaldo M. ↓, Lomonaco K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
25.1% | Draw
33.6% | Independiente
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.5) |
2.78 ↑
(2.73) |
2.27 ↓
(2.3) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Independiente (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent form of Gimnasia Mendoza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Independiente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gimnasia Mendoza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B.
(Muscle Injury)
Munoz E.
(Muscle Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Knee Injury)
Romano N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won against Independiente?
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente were as follows:
29.06.2025
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
-
Independiente
1:2
Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | River Plate | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
