Pogoń Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzębie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 2 Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie
Result
3:4
13/05/2024 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Division 2 - Round 32

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Matuszek S. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Szuprytowski D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 50', Fietz K. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Mis K. ,
  • 56', Bednarski M. 🟨,
  • 59', Goluch S. , Chmarek M. ,
  • 60', Kargul-Grobla K. , Mucha K. ,
  • 62', Mis K. , Derlatka H. ,
  • 63', Nowak D. , Milasius T. ,
  • 63', Bujalski C. , Walczak T. ,
  • 68', Iskra J. 🟨,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Chmarek M. ,
  • 72', Matuszek S. , Kabala D. ,
  • 72', Borun B. , Kiebzak S. ,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Walczak T. ,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Chmarek M. ,
  • 80', Pyrdol P. , Karwot M. ,
  • 84', Szuprytowski D. , Majewski M. ,
  • 85', Lech P. , Ziewiec J. ,
  • 85', Chmarek M. 🟨,
  • 89', Drazik G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Milasius T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 3, Bednarski M. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
62.4%
Draw
21.3%
GKS Jastrzębie
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 24.8% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 24.9% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Siedlce's performance.
  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Jastrzębie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Siedlce that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Jastrzębie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.77)
    4.31
    (3.75)
    5.62
    (4.1)
    9.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). GKS Jastrzębie will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Siedlce: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Pogoń Siedlce is Qualified for Division 1
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Pogoń Siedlce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Pogoń Siedlce is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie were as follows:
    29.10.2023 GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1
    01.04.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie 1:1
    26.08.2022 GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Siedlce 3:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of GKS Jastrzębie
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hutnik Krakow11004:133
    2KKS Kalisz11003:033
    3Podhale Nowy Targ11003:033
    4Sandecja Nowy S11003:123
    5Zaglebie Sosnowiec11002:113
    6Skierniewice11002:113
    7Bielsko-Biala11002:113
    8S. Wola10101:101
    9Ol. Grudziadz10101:101
    10R. Rzeszow10101:101
    11Chojniczanka10101:101
    12Warta Poznan10011:2-10
    13Kleczew10011:2-10
    14Slask Wroclaw II10011:2-10
    15Podbeskidzie10011:3-20
    16LKS Lodz II10011:4-30
    17GKS Jastrzebie10010:3-30
    18Swit Szczecin10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation