Kotwica Kołobrzeg vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
121
Blocked Shots
56
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
10
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1520
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Drag M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Welna T. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Mis K. ,
  • 66', Podlinski K. 🟨,
  • 78', Kort K. , Kostevych V. ,
  • 80', Szuprytowski D. , Dzieciol E. ,
  • 80', Zielonka N. , Bykowski M. ,
  • 84', Kurowski M. , Zietek L. ,
  • 89', Drag M. , Danielewicz K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Perez J. , Zietek L. (A),
  • 90+3', Famulak M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kotwica Kołobrzeg
36.4%
Draw
28.9%
Pogoń Siedlce
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 28.6% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.7% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kotwica Kołobrzeg's performance.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Siedlce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kotwica Kołobrzeg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Siedlce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (3.11)
    3.25
    (3.27)
    2.74
    (2.27)
    6.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Pogoń Siedlce (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Pogoń Siedlce (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Siedlce will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Recent performances by Kotwica Kołobrzeg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kotwica Kołobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2:1
    05.04.2024 Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce 2:2
    23.09.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg 3:3
    04.06.2023 Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce 1:1
    29.10.2022 Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg 0:0
    Latest results of Kotwica Kołobrzeg
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2