GKS Jastrzębie vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj).

Division 2 - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats


Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
4	18
Shots on target
2	10
Corner Kicks
3	7
Yellow Cards
0	1
Total shots
4	18
Shots on target
2	10
Shots off target
2	8
Corner Kicks
3	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Wolny D. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Niedbala J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 1 - 2, Koczy K. ⚽,
62', Tomalski H. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Wolny D. ⚽,
68', Wolny D. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
79', Niedbala J. ↓, Hrnciar L. ↑,
79', Hebel M. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
79', Kendzia J. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
83', 1 - 4, Kukulowicz B. ⚽,
84', 1 - 5, Lelek K. ⚽,

Chances of winning

GKS Jastrzębie
18.4%

Draw
22.9%

Stal Stalowa Wola
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

23.7%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

21.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Stalowa Wola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Stalowa Wola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.85)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)	1.57 ↓ (1.72)	8.5% (10.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
GKS Jastrzębie has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Stal Stalowa Wola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Stal Stalowa Wola is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has GKS Jastrzębie won against Stal Stalowa Wola?

GKS Jastrzębie has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stal Stalowa Wola won against GKS Jastrzębie?

Stal Stalowa Wola has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:

18.11.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Jastrzębie 3:1

22.07.2023 GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola 0:0

Latest results of GKS Jastrzębie

31.10.2025 Rekord Bielsko-Biała - GKS Jastrzębie 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 2:2 ✺

17.10.2025 Unia Skierniewice - GKS Jastrzębie 2:0 ✺

11.10.2025 GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz 0:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola

31.10.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola - Resovia Rzeszów 1:1 ✺

26.10.2025 Sokół Kleczew - Stal Stalowa Wola 1:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec 2:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Stalowa Wola 1:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice 2:3 ✺

Polish Division 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Skierniewice	24	17	3	4	52:29	23	54
2	Warta Poznan	24	12	9	3	40:27	13	45
3	Ol. Grudziadz	24	12	8	4	49:31	18	44
4	Sandecja Nowy S	24	11	7	6	38:30	8	40
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	24	10	10	4	30:22	8	40
6	Swit Szczecin	24	10	7	7	40:38	2	37
7	Slask Wroclaw II	24	10	6	8	44:35	9	36
8	Podbeskidzie	24	9	6	9	40:36	4	33
9	Kleczew	24	8	7	9	41:37	4	31
10	Chojniczanka	24	8	7	9	35:33	2	31
11	Hutnik Krakow	24	8	6	10	34:33	1	30
12	S. Wola	24	6	11	7	41:36	5	29
13	R. Rzeszow	24	7	8	9	30:34	-4	29
14	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	24	7	6	11	29:45	-16	27
15	Bielsko-Biala	24	6	8	10	31:41	-10	26
16	KKS Kalisz	24	5	8	11	24:36	-12	23
17	LKS Lodz II	24	4	8	12	26:45	-19	20
18	GKS Jastrzebie	24	0	7	17	18:54	-36	6

      Promotion ~ Division 1
      Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation