GKS Jastrzębie vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
08/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
418
Shots on target
210
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
418
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
28
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Wolny D. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Niedbala J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', 1 - 2, Koczy K. ,
  • 62', Tomalski H. , Lelek K. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Wolny D. ,
  • 68', Wolny D. , Lacki D. ,
  • 79', Niedbala J. , Hrnciar L. ,
  • 79', Hebel M. , Surzyn M. ,
  • 79', Kendzia J. , Svec J. ,
  • 83', 1 - 4, Kukulowicz B. ,
  • 84', 1 - 5, Lelek K. ,

Chances of winning


GKS Jastrzębie
18.4%
Draw
22.9%
Stal Stalowa Wola
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 23.7% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 21.9% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Stalowa Wola's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Stalowa Wola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.01
    (3.85)
    4.02
    (3.83)
    1.57
    (1.72)
    8.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • GKS Jastrzębie has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Stal Stalowa Wola is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    18.11.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Jastrzębie 3:1
    22.07.2023 GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola 0:0
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice27175556:362056
    2Ol. Grudziadz27158457:322553
    3Warta Poznan26149344:281651
    4Sandecja Nowy S271110642:34843
    5Podhale Nowy Targ261011532:26641
    6Chojniczanka27117942:35740
    7Swit Szczecin27117944:44040
    8Podbeskidzie271161049:40939
    9Slask Wroclaw II26116947:371039
    10R. Rzeszow2799938:37136
    11Hutnik Krakow27981037:34335
    12S. Wola27712843:37633
    13Bielsko-Biala27891037:42-533
    14Kleczew26871142:42031
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec27761430:53-2327
    16KKS Kalisz27591328:45-1724
    17LKS Lodz II27581428:49-2123
    18GKS Jastrzebie ✔ 27072018:63-456

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    GKS Jastrzebie is Relegated to