GKS Jastrzębie vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
08/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
418
Shots on target
210
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
418
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
28
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Wolny D. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Niedbala J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', 1 - 2, Koczy K. ,
  • 62', Tomalski H. , Lelek K. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Wolny D. ,
  • 68', Wolny D. , Lacki D. ,
  • 79', Niedbala J. , Hrnciar L. ,
  • 79', Hebel M. , Surzyn M. ,
  • 79', Kendzia J. , Svec J. ,
  • 83', 1 - 4, Kukulowicz B. ,
  • 84', 1 - 5, Lelek K. ,

Chances of winning


GKS Jastrzębie
18.4%
Draw
22.9%
Stal Stalowa Wola
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 23.7% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 21.9% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Stalowa Wola's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Stalowa Wola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.01
    (3.85)
    4.02
    (3.83)
    1.57
    (1.72)
    8.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • GKS Jastrzębie has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Stal Stalowa Wola is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    18.11.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Jastrzębie 3:1
    22.07.2023 GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola 0:0
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice20142441:221944
    2Ol. Grudziadz21117341:281340
    3Warta Poznan20116334:231139
    4Podhale Nowy Targ2199325:17836
    5Swit Szczecin2095639:35432
    6Sandecja Nowy S2086631:28330
    7Podbeskidzie2185835:33229
    8R. Rzeszow2177728:26228
    9S. Wola2069538:31727
    10Slask Wroclaw II2176837:35227
    11Chojniczanka2067732:31125
    12Kleczew2066835:33224
    13Hutnik Krakow2166931:32-124
    14Bielsko-Biala2066828:35-724
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec2065923:33-1023
    16KKS Kalisz2047921:31-1019
    17LKS Lodz II20281021:37-1614
    18GKS Jastrzebie20071316:46-307

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation