Result
3:0
23/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 6
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (389/446) | 83% (359/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (389/446) | 83% (359/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (117/144) | 52% (32/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (13/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Nowak B. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Hellebrand P. ⚽, Sow O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 0, Liseth S. ⚽, Ambros L. (A),
- 61', Lukasiak K. ↓, Bosch J. ↑,
- 61', Zrelak A. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 0, Kuusk M. (Own goal),
- 70', Sow O. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
- 70', Ambros L. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 70', Kmet M. ↓, Szczesniak K. ↑,
- 70', Galan B. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
- 70', Blad A. ↓, Gruszkowski K. ↑,
- 76', Ismaheel T. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 76', Josema ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
- 78', Nowak B. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze 52.8% | Draw 24.6% | GKS Katowice 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.75) |
3.8 ↓ (4.05) |
4.16 ↑ (3.85) |
6.4% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Górnik Zabrze will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 4.
- Górnik Zabrze has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- GKS Katowice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Górnik Zabrze is the team to beat.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Rogala G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
Zahovic L.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against GKS Katowice?
Górnik Zabrze has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Górnik Zabrze?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice were as follows:
30.03.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
21.09.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
GKS Katowice
3:0
27.09.2023
GKS Katowice
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:4
20.10.2022
GKS Katowice
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:2
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1