Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 23
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (244/324) | 80% (358/447) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (244/324) | 80% (358/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (64/107) | 67% (76/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Zrelak A. 🟨,
- 22', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Nowak B. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Liseth S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Josema ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
- 60', Milewski S. 🟨,
- 61', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
- 61', Jirka E. ↓, Galan B. ↑,
- 61', Wdowiak M. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 67', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
- 67', Sadilek L. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
- 79', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 85', Ambros L. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
- 85', Milewski S. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Wedrychowski M. ⚽,
- 90', Hellebrand P. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
- 90+8', 3 - 1, Jedrych A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
33.4% | Draw
28.5% | Górnik Zabrze
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.52) |
3.27 ↑
(3.11) |
2.44 ↓
(2.49) |
6.9%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 1.
- GKS Katowice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J.
(Inactive)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Górnik Zabrze?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against GKS Katowice?
Górnik Zabrze has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
23.08.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
GKS Katowice
3:0
30.03.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
21.09.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
GKS Katowice
3:0
27.09.2023
GKS Katowice
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:4
20.10.2022
GKS Katowice
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:2
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
